Factors associated with COVID-19 related hospitalisation, critical care admission and mortality using linked primary and secondary care data

AbstractBackgroundTo identify risk factors associated with increased risk of hospitalisation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality in inner North East London (NEL) during the first UK COVID-19 wave.MethodsMultivariate logistic regression analysis on linked primary and secondary care data from people aged 16 or older with confirmed COVID-19 infection between 01/02/2020-30/06/2020 determined odds ratios (OR), 95% confidence intervals (CI) and p-values for the association between demographic, deprivation and clinical factors with COVID-19 hospitalisation, ICU admission and mortality.ResultsOver the study period 1,781 people were diagnosed with COVID-19, of whom 1,195 (67%) were hospitalised, 152 (9%) admitted to ICU and 400 (23%) died. Results confirm previously identified risk factors: being male, or of Black or Asian ethnicity, or aged over 50. Obesity, type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) increased the risk of hospitalisation. Obesity increased the risk of being admitted to ICU. Underlying CKD, stroke and dementia in-creased the risk of death. Having learning disabilities was strongly associated with increased risk of death (OR=4.75, 95%CI=(1.91,11.84), p=0.001). Having three or four co-morbidities increased the risk of hospitalisation (OR=2.34,95%CI=(1.55,3.54),p<0.001;OR=2.40, 95%CI=(1.55,3.73), p<0.001 respectively) and death (OR=2.61, 95%CI=(1.59,4.28), p<0.001;OR=4.07, 95% CI= (2.48,6.69), p<0.001 respectively).ConclusionsWe confirm that age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, CKD and diabetes are important determinants of risk of COVID-19 hospitalisation or death. For the first time, we also identify people with learning disabilities and multi-morbidity as additional patient cohorts that need to be actively protected during COVID-19 waves.

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Risk factors associated with the severity of COVID-19 in a region of the Brazilian Amazon

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-00009-y ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Daniele Melo Sardinha ◽

Rosane do Socorro Pompeu de Loiola ◽

Ana Lúcia da Silva Ferreira ◽

Carmem Aliandra Freire de Sá ◽

Yan Corrêa Rodrigues ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Brazilian Amazon ◽

The State ◽

Metropolitan Region ◽

Epidemiological Surveillance ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Brazilian Amazon Region

AbstractThe Brazilian Northern region registered a high incidence of COVID-19 cases, particularly in the state of Pará. The present study investigated the risk factors associated with the severity of COVID-19 in a Brazilian Amazon region of 100,819 cases. An epidemiological, cross-sectional, analytical and demographic study, analyzing data on confirmed cases for COVID-19 available at the Brazilian Ministry of Health's surveillance platform, was conducted. Variables such as, municipalities of residence, age, gender, signs and symptoms, comorbidities were included and associated with COVID-19 cases and outcomes. The spatial distribution was performed using the ArcGIS program. A total of 100,819 cases were evaluated. Overall, patients had the mean age of 42.3 years, were female (51.2%) and with lethality reaching 4.79% of cases. Main symptoms included fever (66.5%), cough (61.9%) and sore throat (39.8%). Regarding comorbidities, most of the patients presented cardiovascular disease (5.1%) and diabetes (4.2%). Neurological disease increased risk of death by nearly 15 times, followed by obesity (5.16 times) and immunodeficiency (5.09 time). The municipalities with the highest incidence rate were Parauapebas, Canaã dos Carajás and Jacareacanga. Similarity between the Lower Amazon, Marajó and Southwest mesoregions of Pará state were observed concerning the highest morbidity rates. The obtained data demonstrated that the majority of cases occurred among young adults, females, with the classic influenza symptoms and chronic diseases. Finally, data suggest that the highest incidences were no longer in the metropolitan region of the state. The higher lethality rate than in Brazil may be associated with the greater impacts of the disease in this Amazonian population, or factors associated with fragile epidemiological surveillance in the notification of cases of cure.

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Factors Associated With Fatality Due to Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Infection in China

Clinical Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/cid/ciz779 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 71 (1) ◽

pp. 128-132 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Shufa Zheng ◽

Qianda Zou ◽

Xiaochen Wang ◽

Jiaqi Bao ◽

Fei Yu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Avian Influenza ◽

Influenza A ◽

Bacterial Infections ◽

Neuraminidase Inhibitor ◽

Inhibitor Therapy ◽

H7n9 Virus ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk

Abstract Background The high case fatality rate of influenza A(H7N9)-infected patients has been a major clinical concern. Methods To identify the common causes of death due to H7N9 as well as identify risk factors associated with the high inpatient mortality, we retrospectively collected clinical treatment information from 350 hospitalized human cases of H7N9 virus in mainland China during 2013–2017, of which 109 (31.1%) had died, and systematically analyzed the patients’ clinical characteristics and risk factors for death. Results The median age at time of infection was 57 years, whereas the median age at time of death was 61 years, significantly older than those who survived. In contrast to previous studies, we found nosocomial infections comprising Acinetobacter baumannii and Klebsiella most commonly associated with secondary bacterial infections, which was likely due to the high utilization of supportive therapies, including mechanical ventilation (52.6%), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (14%), continuous renal replacement therapy (19.1%), and artificial liver therapy (9.7%). Age, time from illness onset to antiviral therapy initiation, and secondary bacterial infection were independent risk factors for death. Age >65 years, secondary bacterial infections, and initiation of neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy after 5 days from symptom onset were associated with increased risk of death. Conclusions Death among H7N9 virus–infected patients occurred rapidly after hospital admission, especially among older patients, followed by severe hypoxemia and multisystem organ failure. Our results show that early neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy and reduction of secondary bacterial infections can help reduce mortality. Characterization of 350 hospitalized avian influenza A(H7N9)-infected patients in China shows that age >65 years, secondary bacterial infections, and initiation of neuraminidase-inhibitor therapy after 5 days from symptom onset were associated with increased risk of death.

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Factors associated with COVID-19 severity and mortality among Hispanic patients living on the USA–Mexico border

Journal of Investigative Medicine ◽

10.1136/jim-2020-001667 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. jim-2020-001667

Author(s):

Jorge Cervantes ◽

Amit Sureen ◽

Gian Galura ◽

Christopher Dodoo ◽

Alok Kumar Dwivedi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Ethnic Disparities ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Imaging Characteristics ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Hispanic Patients ◽

The Usa ◽

Mexico Border

COVID-19 has ravaged the medical, social, and financial landscape across the world, and the USA–Mexico border is no exception. Although some risk factors for COVID-19 severity and mortality have already been identified in various ethnic cohorts, there remains a paucity of data among Hispanics, particularly those living on borders. Ethnic disparities in COVID-19 outcomes in Hispanic and black populations have been reported. We sought to identify the clinical presentation, treatment, laboratory, and imaging characteristics of 82 Hispanic patients in a county hospital and describe the factors associated with rates of hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (48.8%) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (39%), both found to be associated with hospitalization and mortality, while only DM was associated with increased rate of ICU admission. Multivariable analysis showed that individuals with fever, low oxygen saturation (SpO2), nasal congestion, shortness of breath, and DM had an increased risk of hospitalization. Individuals with fever, decreased levels of SpO2, and advanced age were found to be associated with an increased risk of death. The most common cause of death was respiratory failure (28.9%), followed by shock (17.8%) and acute kidney injury (15.6%). Our findings are critical to developing strategies and identifying at-risk individuals in a Hispanic population living on borders. Research aiming to identify key evidence‐based prognostic factors in our patient population will help inform our healthcare providers so that best interventions can be implemented to improve the outcomes of patients with COVID-19.

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Analysis of Unplanned Intensive Care Unit Admissions in Postoperative Pediatric Patients

Journal of Intensive Care Medicine ◽

10.1177/0885066616661152 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 32 (3) ◽

pp. 204-211 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Elizabeth K. Landry ◽

Rodney A. Gabriel ◽

Sascha Beutler ◽

Richard P. Dutton ◽

Richard D. Urman

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Intensive Care Unit ◽

Intensive Care ◽

Pediatric Patients ◽

Pediatric Population ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Data Set ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Wide Range

Background: Currently, there are only a few retrospective, single-institution studies that have addressed the prevalence and risk factors associated with unplanned admissions to the pediatric intensive care unit (ICU) after surgery. Based on the limited amount of studies, it appears that airway and respiratory complications put a child at increased risk for unplanned ICU admission. A more extensive and diverse analysis of unplanned postoperative admissions to the ICU is needed to address risk factors that have yet to be revealed by the current literature. Aim: To establish a rate of unplanned postoperative ICU admissions in pediatric patients using a large, multi-institution data set and to further characterize the associated risk factors. Methods: Data from the National Anesthesia Clinical Outcomes Registry were analyzed. We recorded the overall risk of unplanned postoperative ICU admission in patients younger than 18 years and performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the associated patient, surgical, and anesthetic-related characteristics. Results: Of the 324 818 cases analyzed, 211 reported an unexpected ICU admission. There was an increased likelihood of unplanned postoperative ICU in infants (age <1 year) and children who were classified as American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification of III or IV. Likewise, longer case duration and cases requiring general anesthesia were also associated with unplanned ICU admissions. Conclusion: This study establishes a rate of unplanned ICU admission following surgery in the heterogeneous pediatric population. This is the first study to utilize such a large data set encompassing a wide range of practice environments to identify risk factors leading to unplanned postoperative ICU admissions. Our study revealed that patient, surgical, and anesthetic complexity each contributed to an increased number of unplanned ICU admissions in the pediatric population.

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Prognostic assessment in palliative cancer care: is there a difference between adult and older patients?

Geriatrics Gerontology and Aging ◽

10.53886/gga.e0210044 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 15 ◽

Author(s):

Simone Garruth dos Santos Machado Sampaio ◽

Livia Costa Oliveira ◽

Karla Santos da Costa Rosa

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Older People ◽

Older Patients ◽

Protective Factor ◽

Prognostic Score ◽

Glasgow Prognostic Score ◽

Nutritional Risk ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk

OBJECTIVE: To compare factors associated with death in adults and older people with advanced cancer who were hospitalized in a palliative care unit (PCU). METHODS: Case-control study with patients (adults vs older people) admitted to a PCU of National Cancer Institute José Alencar Gomes da Silva (INCA), in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Logistic regressions (odds ratio [OR] and 95% confidence interval [95%CI]) were used to identify factors associated with death. RESULTS: The study included 205 patients, most of which were aged over 60 years old (60.5%). Among the adult patients, a Karnofsky Performance Status ≤ 40% (OR 2.54 [95%CI 1.11–3.45]) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (OR 1.09 [95%CI 1.02–1.24]) were risk factors for death, while albumin (OR 0.30 [95%CI 0.12–0.78]) was a protective factor. Among older patients, NLR (OR: 1.13 [95%CI 1.02–1.24]), C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR 1.09 [95%CI 1.02–1.17]), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) 1 and 2 (OR 4.66 [95%CI 1.35–16.06]), CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR) (OR 1.27 [95%CI 1.03–1.58]), and nutritional risk (OR 1.11 [95%CI 1.03–1.19]) were risk factors, whereas albumin (OR 0.23 [95%CI 0.09–0.57]) was a protective factor against death. CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic factors differed between groups. The NLR was a risk factor, and albumin was a protective factor regarding death in both groups. Additionally, CRP, mGPS, CAR, and nutritional risk were associated with an increased risk of death only among older people.

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Deaths associated with cysticercosis

Neurosurgical FOCUS ◽

10.3171/foc.2002.12.6.3 ◽

2002 ◽

Vol 12 (6) ◽

pp. 1-4 ◽

Cited By ~ 17

Author(s):

Christopher M. Degiorgio ◽

Iceland Houston ◽

Sandra Oviedo ◽

Frank Sorvillo

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Intracranial Hypertension ◽

Causes Of Death ◽

Medical Center ◽

Shunt Infection ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Common Causes ◽

Parenchymal Disease

There is significant concern about an increased risk of death in patients with neurocysticercosis who receive anti-helminthic agents. To clarify the risk factors for death associated with cysticercosis, the authors identified all cases of mortality over a 5-year period in patients in whom cysticercosis was diagnosed and who were discharged from a major metropolitan medical center. In addition, they reviewed the literature to delineate risk factors associated with cysticer-cosis-related death, concluding that the risk of death is highest in patients with heavy cyst burdens and those surgically treated for intracranial hypertension. Death is rare in properly selected patients with parenchymal disease in whom the cyst burden is low and intracranial hypertension is absent. The most common causes of death appear to be 1) intracranial hypertension in surgically treated patients and 2) shunt infection.

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Risk factors associated with severe hospital burden of COVID-19 disease in Regione Lombardia: a cohort study

BMC Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1186/s12879-021-06750-z ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Anne M. Presanis ◽

Kevin Kunzmann ◽

Francesca M. Grosso ◽

Christopher H. Jackson ◽

Alice Corbella ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Care Home ◽

Population Characteristics ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Lengths Of Stay ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Using Data

Abstract Background Understanding the risk factors associated with hospital burden of COVID-19 is crucial for healthcare planning for any future waves of infection. Methods An observational cohort study is performed, using data on all PCR-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Regione Lombardia, Italy, during the first wave of infection from February-June 2020. A multi-state modelling approach is used to simultaneously estimate risks of progression through hospital to final outcomes of either death or discharge, by pathway (via critical care or not) and the times to final events (lengths of stay). Logistic and time-to-event regressions are used to quantify the association of patient and population characteristics with the risks of hospital outcomes and lengths of stay respectively. Results Risks of severe outcomes such as ICU admission and mortality have decreased with month of admission (for example, the odds ratio of ICU admission in June vs March is 0.247 [0.120–0.508]) and increased with age (odds ratio of ICU admission in 45–65 vs 65 + age group is 0.286 [0.201–0.406]). Care home residents aged 65 + are associated with increased risk of hospital mortality and decreased risk of ICU admission. Being a healthcare worker appears to have a protective association with mortality risk (odds ratio of ICU mortality is 0.254 [0.143–0.453] relative to non-healthcare workers) and length of stay. Lengths of stay decrease with month of admission for survivors, but do not appear to vary with month for non-survivors. Conclusions Improvements in clinical knowledge, treatment, patient and hospital management and public health surveillance, together with the waning of the first wave after the first lockdown, are hypothesised to have contributed to the reduced risks and lengths of stay over time.

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Cross-sectional observational study of epidemiology of COVID-19 and clinical outcomes of hospitalised patients in North West London during March and April 2020

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044384 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (2) ◽

pp. e044384

Author(s):

Guduru Gopal Rao ◽

Alexander Allen ◽

Padmasayee Papineni ◽

Liyang Wang ◽

Charlotte Anderson ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mechanical Ventilation ◽

Clinical Outcomes ◽

Severe Infection ◽

Older Age ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

North West ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Hospitalised Patients ◽

Increased Risk

ObjectiveThe aim of this paper is to describe evolution, epidemiology and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in subjects tested at or admitted to hospitals in North West London.DesignObservational cohort study.SettingLondon North West Healthcare NHS Trust (LNWH).ParticipantsPatients tested and/or admitted for COVID-19 at LNWH during March and April 2020Main outcome measuresDescriptive and analytical epidemiology of demographic and clinical outcomes (intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation and mortality) of those who tested positive for COVID-19.ResultsThe outbreak began in the first week of March 2020 and reached a peak by the end of March and first week of April. In the study period, 6183 tests were performed in on 4981 people. Of the 2086 laboratory confirmed COVID-19 cases, 1901 were admitted to hospital. Older age group, men and those of black or Asian minority ethnic (BAME) group were predominantly affected (p<0.05). These groups also had more severe infection resulting in ICU admission and need for mechanical ventilation (p<0.05). However, in a multivariate analysis, only increasing age was independently associated with increased risk of death (p<0.05). Mortality rate was 26.9% in hospitalised patients.ConclusionThe findings confirm that men, BAME and older population were most commonly and severely affected groups. Only older age was independently associated with mortality.

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1095. Investigation of Risk Factors Associated with Serious Bacterial, Viral and Invasive Fungal Infections in Hematologic Patients on Ibrutinib

Open Forum Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/ofid/ofaa439.1281 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. S576-S577

Author(s):

Thomas Holowka ◽

Harry Cheung ◽

Maricar F Malinis ◽

Sarah Perreault ◽

Iris Isufi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Fungal Infections ◽

Antimicrobial Prophylaxis ◽

Hematologic Malignancy ◽

Invasive Fungal Infections ◽

Risk Of Infection ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Serious Infection ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Serious Infections

Abstract Background Ibrutinib is a tyrosine kinase inhibitor used to treat hematologic malignancies that may increase the risk of serious infection including invasive fungal infections (IFI). In a study of 378 patients with hematologic malignancy on ibrutinib, serious infection and IFI occurred in 11% and 4% respectively (Varughese et al. Clin Infect Dis). The primary aims of our study were to determine the incidence of serious infection and associated risk factors in patients on ibrutinib. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with hematologic malignancy prescribed ibrutinib for ≥ 1 week at Yale New Haven Hospital from 2014 to 2019 to identify serious infections defined as those requiring inpatient management. We collected demographic, clinical and oncologic data. Chi-squared tests were used to determine factors associated with an increased risk of infection. Results A total of 254 patients received ibrutinib including 156 with CLL, 89 with NHL and 9 with other leukemias. Among these, 21 underwent HSCT, 9 complicated by GVHD. There were 51 (20%) patients with serious infections including 45 (17.7%) bacterial, 9 (3.5%) viral and 5 (2%) IFI (1 pulmonary cryptococcosis, 4 pulmonary aspergillosis). Anti-mold prophylaxis was prescribed to 7 (2.8%) patients, none of whom developed IFI. Risk factors associated with serious infection included ECOG score ≥ 2 (OR 4.6, p < 0.001), concurrent steroid use (≥ 10 mg prednisone daily for ≥ 2 weeks; OR 3.0, p < 0.001), neutropenia (OR 3.6, p < 0.01), lymphopenia (OR 2.4, p < 0.05) and maximum ibrutinib dose of 560 mg (OR 2, p < 0.05). There was a dose dependent increase in infections based on number of chemotherapy regimens prior to ibrutinib initiation: 14.3% with 0, 19.7% with 1-2 and 28.7% with ≥ 3 prior treatments. Conclusion The incidence of serious infection in hematologic patients on ibrutinib was higher than previously reported (20% versus 11%) but the rate of IFI was lower (2% versus 4%). High ECOG score, leukopenia, steroids, and higher ibrutinib doses were associated with an increased risk for serious infection. Targeted antimicrobial prophylaxis should be considered for patients on ibrutinib with these risk factors. Improving functional status may also reduce the risk of infection in patients on ibrutinib. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

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Characteristics, outcomes and risk factors for mortality of 522 167 patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in Brazil: a retrospective cohort study

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2021-049089 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (5) ◽

pp. e049089

Author(s):

Marcia C Castro ◽

Susie Gurzenda ◽

Eduardo Marques Macário ◽

Giovanny Vinícius A França

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort Study ◽

Retrospective Cohort ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Secondary Outcome ◽

Hospital Death ◽

Factors Associated ◽

Icu Admission ◽

Hospitalised Patients

ObjectiveTo provide a comprehensive description of demographic, clinical and radiographic characteristics; treatment and case outcomes; and risk factors associated with in-hospital death of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in Brazil.DesignRetrospective cohort study of hospitalised patients diagnosed with COVID-19.SettingData from all hospitals across Brazil.Participants522 167 hospitalised patients in Brazil by 14 December 2020 with severe acute respiratory illness, and a confirmed diagnosis for COVID-19.Primary and secondary outcome measuresPrevalence of symptoms and comorbidities was compared by clinical outcomes and intensive care unit (ICU) admission status. Survival was assessed using Kaplan Meier survival estimates. Risk factors associated with in-hospital death were evaluated with multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.ResultsOf the 522 167 patients included in this study, 56.7% were discharged, 0.002% died of other causes, 30.7% died of causes associated with COVID-19 and 10.2% remained hospitalised. The median age of patients was 61 years (IQR, 47–73), and of non-survivors 71 years (IQR, 60–80); 292 570 patients (56.0%) were men. At least one comorbidity was present in 64.5% of patients and in 76.8% of non-survivors. From illness onset, the median times to hospital and ICU admission were 6 days (IQR, 3–9) and 7 days (IQR, 3–10), respectively; 15 days (IQR, 9–24) to death and 15 days (IQR, 11–20) to hospital discharge. Risk factors for in-hospital death included old age, Black/Brown ethnoracial self-classification, ICU admission, being male, living in the North and Northeast regions and various comorbidities. Age had the highest HRs of 5.51 (95% CI: 4.91 to 6.18) for patients≥80, compared with those ≤20.ConclusionsCharacteristics of patients and risk factors for in-hospital mortality highlight inequities of COVID-19 outcomes in Brazil. As the pandemic continues to unfold, targeted policies that address those inequities are needed to mitigate the unequal burden of COVID-19.

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