New challenges to the economic security of Russia and the world and counteraction methods

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 1246-1263
Author(s):  
S.B. Zainullin ◽  
O.A. Zainullina

Subject. The 2020 economic crisis has become a global threat to the economic security of States, corporations and households. The elimination of this threat to economic security is a key priority of the State. Objectives. The article is dedicated to factors of the current crisis, both individually and in aggregate, as well as forecasts of the economic development during the crisis. Methods. The study is based on the scientific knowledge as dialectic, a combination of historical and logical unity, structural analysis, traditional methods of economic analysis and synthesis. Results. We carried out the comparative analysis of crisis theories, forecasted the economic development of the IMF, the World Bank, the Audit Chamber, and considered analytical agencies in dynamics, taking into account adjustments when the crisis manifests itself. Counteraction methods are reviewed from theoretical and practical perspectives. The article also analyzed the international expertise in crisis management. Conclusions and Relevance. The economic crisis was found to be at its initial stage, with negative scenarios being more probable. Proposed and implemented, local measures can mitigate the economic decline, prevent massive bankruptcies and a social explosion. Meanwhile, measures to restructure the economic policy may contribute to overcoming the crisis. The findings can be used by federal government bodies to adjust economic policies, develop programs and strategies for the socio-economic development of regions, and economic security strategies for corporations.

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 316-336
Author(s):  
Sergei B. ZAINULLIN ◽  
Ol'ga A. ZAINULLINA

Subject. The 2020 economic crisis turned to be a global threat to the economic security of some corporations, industries and markets. Objectives. We evaluate the current situation when corporations are taking dip during the crisis. We also analyze new opportunities for them, examine possible modifications of the marketing strategy. Methods. The study is based on the dialectical method, a combination of historic and logic unity, structural analysis, traditional techniques for analysis and synthesis. Results. We carried out the comparative analysis of industries which happened to be the most crisis-hit. The article also provides a review of markets that demonstrate the potential for growth. We examined marketing communication mechanisms, which may modify the marketing strategy provided they are applied in a new manner and combined with digital technology. Conclusions and Relevance. The economic crisis considerably undermined the performance of certain industries. However, it revealed some important tendencies, with the timely implementation of digital technologies being the main one. The latter underlie e?commerce, which has plummeted during the crisis and will definitely continue to grow after the crisis. Digital technologies are a cornerstone for crisis management activities for the overwhelming majority of crisis-hit industries, which are trying to avoid probable bankruptcy brought by the crisis.


2020 ◽  
pp. 120-125
Author(s):  
Yuriy Naumov

The article proposes a new methodological approach to understanding corruption threats to economic security on a national-state scale, based on the formation of a model for the system of strategic analysis, management and prevention of risks in the sphere of socio-economic development of the state. Underestimation of diagnostics and monitoring of recognition of corruption threats to national economic security in the context of an economic crisis may negatively affect the level of life support of citizens.


Author(s):  
Shokhrukh B. Akhmedov ◽  
◽  
Vladimir M. Kutovoi ◽  

The article assesses a significance of the most important component of the agreement on accession to the WTO, namely the agreement on trade-related investment measures (TRIMs), in increasing the attractiveness of developing countries to investors from abroad. In addition, traditional determinants of FDI placement, such as the macroeconomic stability, trade openness, and economic development, are considered. The authors carry out an analysis in the field of regulation of TRIMs by the example of economic policies in developing countries. The study shows that the extent to which TRIMs contributed to achieving the goals varied significantly, reflecting the specific economic and political conditions of the country using them. In some cases, they played a role in encouraging foreign companies to make more use of local sources or increase their exports from the host country. In other cases, the impact seemingly was negligible.


Author(s):  
Hakan Ay ◽  
Öznur Uçar

Examine the history of Turkey's economic crisis based economy will give clues for a much better economy. For 92 years, history of Turkey Republic has experienced the development stages of democracy and economy. Turkey has completed the journey of economic development as the most advanced economy in the world, although began as an undeveloped country. Turkey has been affected from the global and regional crises and overcame the nine economic crises. The implemented economic crisis policies showed parallelism with the trend of the world economic thoughts and has been shaped around Keynes and Friedman applications. All these details have been described in our study chronologically. With our study, we were trying to portray the Turkish economy's yesterday and today. Thus, we believe that our study will create data for predicting the future of the Turkish economy and the future of the world of economy.


Author(s):  
Lesya Sheludko

Actuality of the research topic. A number of global trends affects food supply and consumption, as well as food security in the world. The main one is the growth of the world population primarily in emerging countries and urbanization of the population. Accordingly, the topic of food security in the context of urbanization becomes highly relevant. Problem statement. It should be noted, that urbanization changes the quantity and structure of food products, increases the demand for quality products, impacts on food security and economic security of the country in general. Review of recent research and publications. Urbanization is a very complex subject; so many well-known foreign and domestic scientists from different fields of science have studied various aspects of urbanization. At the same time, the vast majority of publications are mostly theoretical and cover the demographic and geographical aspects of urban processes, while the issues of economic analysis and the impact of urbanization on food security remain inadequately studied. Task statement, research methods. The article aims to study the process of urbanization in the world and in Ukraine, as well as to identify the impact of urban processes on the economic development of countries and food security in order to develop recommendations on prospects and opportunities for Ukraine. Presentation of the main material (results of work). The paper describes the main processes of urbanization, which take place in different countries and in the world as a whole, as well as in Ukraine. The influence of urbanization processes on the economic development of the countries is determined, namely, that the countries with high level of urbanization have high economic development and accordingly the high Gross National Product per capita. It has been discovered, that urbanization also affects the food security of countries, as the number of urban population increases, the structure of consumer products changes, and the demand for food increases as well. Summary. Urbanization represents both a challenge and an opportunity for the development of agriculture, as well as food security. Urbanization provides opportunities for Ukraine in the face of growing demand for food, to improve its export potential.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Mohamad Buheji

The “Economics of Climate-Resilient Development” present a comprehensive mitigation plan to avoid future socio-economic crisis. The authors foresight that unless strategies are adapt effectively and efficiently today by the different communities and specially in the developing low income countries, the world would be vulnerable to economic shocks that never been experienced before.The book can be considered unique since it linked the economic development with the techniques of adaptation. It coincides with work the reviewer published about resilience economy where approaches for enhancing people and communities are explained in order to reach the minimum expected adaptability and flexibility. Buheji (2018a, 2018b).However, the work of Fankhauser and McDermott (2016) greatly focus on climate change, as the main challenge of economic development. The work would be greater if the editors ensure more inclusion and details on the nature of human being journeys.The issue of poverty covered in the book is a good example of foresighted socio-economic risk that needs to be mitigated to avoid deterioration due to many conditions that mostly would be uncontrollable due external unforeseen factors. In an earlier work, these factors were seen the cause for more complexity of the business models, which required proactive resilient practices, Buheji (2017).


Author(s):  
Ljiljana Stošić Mihajlović ◽  
Miloš Nikolić

One of the biggest economic crises since the industrial revolution centuries ago is underway, and its intensity is still invisible. The current crisis is caused by the corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic. In March, when the corona began to take off all over the world, including in Serbia, leading epidemiologists claimed that it would be better from May, some even from June, guided by the thesis that warmer weather could stop the virus and bring life back. on the "old". It is now almost impossible to give any precise forecast, both from the health and economic aspect. The only thing that is certain is uncertainty, both for workers and managers and owners, and uncertainty often brings with it fear. The economic crisis of 2020 differs from the crisis of 2008 because the current one was caused by the states with their measures, and the last one was caused by the financial sector by uncontrolled risky behavior. The consequences will be similar, because again, the banks will warn the states that they have borrowed too much, as if the debt did not arise first in order for the banks to be saved. Unlike the world economic crisis that was current ten years ago, this crisis does not have a clear focus in the financial system that can be identified and acted upon with adequate measures. The economic consequences of the pandemic are greater the more economically underdeveloped the country is, and Serbia entered this crisis as a country burdened with numerous problems, a high share of public debt in GDP and developmentally dependent on foreign capital. The suspension of economic activity for a certain period and its restart in an environment of uncertainty and fear of the now certain second wave, are trends that some companies will survive with certain reductions in production and work capacity.


2020 ◽  
pp. 60-65
Author(s):  
D.R. Zagidullin ◽  
A.V. Butov

The coronavirus that affected the entire world economy caused a global economic crisis, which led not only to significant losses — a reduction in GDP, an increase in unemployment, and a decrease in population incomes, but also revealed new opportunities for economic development. Thus, the coronavirus epidemic, which led to the widespread introduction of self-isolation, accelerated the process of digitalization of the world and domestic economy. One of the areas of digitalization will be discussed in this article.


2009 ◽  
pp. 71-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Akindinova ◽  
V. Mironov ◽  
M. Petronevich ◽  
S. Pukhov ◽  
S. Smirnov

Overall overview of current economic situation in Russia and in the world and possible scenarios of future economic development are presented in the paper. The analysis of GDP slowdown factors shows that the fall in excess inventories, accumulated in 2007—2008, accounts for more than 2/3 of GDP reduction in Russia. It is noted that instruments used by the government are weakening each other and do not allow to achieve internal and external equilibrium simultaneously in the future. Two possible anti-crisis economic policies (which are also behind the differences in two scenarios) are considered — countercyclical and anti inflation ones, their advantages and drawbacks are examined. The conclusion is made that countercyclical policy is now more favorable, which seems also to be a government choice. Nevertheless, anti-inflation policy directed to shrink monopolies power is necessary in both scenarios.


Author(s):  
Anna Chkan ◽  
Iryna Chkan

The article deals with problems in the activity of enterprises in the conditions of the new modern crisis  pandemic. The purpose of the research is to identify the most priority and effective tools and measures of effective entrepreneurship for enterprises in a pandemic  a new type of socio-economic crisis in the world. In the article the consult-analysis of the activities of enterprises by the authors was conducted. The authors have determined that the current socio-economic crisis has significant differences from all previous crises that took place in the economy of the world. It is determined that today the enterprises of almost all branches of the national economy find themselves in a situation where they simply do not have sufficient financial resources, lose their profit through of fluctuations in the exchange rates, must operate in a new way, have to implement new technologies of operational management, have to completely change the technology of work with consumers or even suspend their activity on indefinite term. According to the research, most of the enterprises, even in the situation when they continued their activity, can work for quite a limited time. In this aspect, the expediency of developing and implementing a set of measures by the state of supporting the entrepreises in crisis and post-crisis periods has been proved. As the priority were determined different areas: preferential taxation, compensation of wages paid to employees, introduction of a temporary moratorium on checks. The practice of foreign countries (Poland, Italy, Germany, France, Britain, USA) on the protection of entrepreneurs in the crisis is analyzed. Most of these countries financially support entrepreneurs and the population, introduce preferential taxation on the results of their activities, and create special support funds. The authors summarize in the article the set of measures implemented in Ukraine for small and large businesses. On the whole, the authors identified that measures that have been developed in Ukraine to support business, help in the current crisis, but most of the measures are not enough productive, their implementation has some limitations and difficulties.


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