scholarly journals Forecasting the unemployment rate in Kyrgyzstan based on economic and statistical analysis

Ergodesign ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
pp. 103-109
Author(s):  
Tursun Subanov

Unemployment problems have intensified especially during the coronavirus pandemic. In many countries, enterprises and institutions were forced to reduce the number of employees due to the pandemic. This, in turn, increased the army of the unemployed and led to social conflicts between the government and the people. To stabilize the situation, it becomes necessary to predict the unemployment rate and take appropriate measures. To resolve the contradiction associated with the conflict between the government and the people and the increase in unemployment due to the pandemic, a predictive model has been proposed that makes it possible to forecast the unemployment rate by the employment indicators. Practical findings have been drawn about the need to take measures to stabilize the situation at the country level, including a system of incentives for small and medium-sized businesses with the foreign investors’ involvement. The proposed measures should provide significant assistance in reducing unemployment.

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 351-366
Author(s):  
Rajeev Ranjan Kumar ◽  
Muhammad Rizwan

Abstract Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is a controversial figure and has polarised public debate for over a decade. He is criticised for the decline in growth rate and increase in unemployment rate. It has been five years since the Modi-led Bhartiya Janata Party (bjp) came to power, so analysing the economic performance and extremist religious behaviour of the Modi-led bjp/rss (Rastriya Sevak Sangh) is interesting. This article discusses the non-conventional views on the economic performance of the government in India, and the ideology of Hindutva and hatred towards religious minorities. This deep-rooted hatred of religious minorities and the lower caste is the core philosophy of Hindutva and is followed by the bjp and rss. Under the shadow of the rss, the Modi government has focused on Hindutva rather than the economy and the people, which has been the most important factor in the economic decline of India.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 168
Author(s):  
Deni Umbara ◽  
Jum Hermanto ◽  
Franky Ariyadi

The Omnibus Law was first echoed during the inauguration of the President of theRepublic of Indonesia to be precise, on October 20, 2019. Omnibus Law is a legalconcept that will simplify a regulation. All the considerations are causedby too manyrules that have stagnated the economic growth experienced by this nation. With themany regulations, the president felt the need to take steps forward to minimize theseregulations. Acode was created that could back up all rules, namely the presence of theOmnibus Law Bill, which later the bill became a law called the Omnibus Law.Peoplewho reject and feel uneasy about the presence of the Omnibus Law Bill think that thisbill will only prioritize outside investment, making it a red carpet for foreign investors,the investment will only be enjoyed by the elite and a handful of people, which does notlead to job creation which will have an impact on improving people's welfare, makingworkers like production machines, loss of minimum wages, reducing overtime workinghours, and many other articles that castrate their own people. With the presence of thisbill, it will make this nation even more backward from democracy. The government andthe DPR should have drafted this law to protect and voice the voices of the peopleaffected by the regulations, not the other way around. Therefore, the people who are against it assess that the presence of this bill will legitimize investments that destroy the environment, ignore the assets of the people and indigenous peoples. The drafting ofthis bill was carried out behind closed doors without the participation of civil societyand recycled unconstitutional articles of centralization of authority that hurt the spiritof reform.


BESTUUR ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Najella Zubaidi ◽  
Regy Gusti Pratama ◽  
Sholahuddin Al-Fatih

<p>Many populations in Indonesia have made various problems that arise one of the problems of unemployment that occur in Indonesia. Many unemployment certainly makes the Indonesian economy decline, of course it becomes the duty of the government in overcoming the decline in the Indonesian economy and the issue of unemployment which is surged annually especially in the year 2020. Indonesian President Joko Widodo has created a pre-work card program which is expected to suppress the unemployment rate in Indonesia. With community pre-work cards can increase productivity and competitiveness of work and improve work competence. The community who participated in the pre-employment card program will be provided with training and incentives during the pre-work card training. But the government itself does not guarantee after joining the pre-employment program, people will get a job or not. Of course again this is a government task to be able to open extensive jobs for the people of Indonesia but this also needs to get support and participation from the people of Indonesia to make this pre-work card a successful program and can suppress the unemployment rate in Indonesia.</p><p><strong>  </strong><strong>Keywords:</strong> Pre Work Cards; Unemployment; Effectiveness.</p>


Author(s):  
Bulent Dervishi

Unemployment is one of the most important social problems faced by all developed and developing countries. While countries are developing technologically, production systems are changing and it is becoming hard for workforce to keep pace with these developments. From Macedonia's independence (1991) to 2010, the most important problem in the economy was unemployment. The fact that production ceased in the first years of independence caused both industrial production and total production to decline. Considering the fact that the factories does not work, new people joined to the unemployed group. The Macedonian economy has struggled with high unemployment for 25 years. According to data from the Macedonian statistics agency, the unemployment rate in 2010 was about 39 percent, but in 2015 it has decreased to 25 percent.In OECD countries are implemented active policies in 6 important categories to increase employment. Macedonia has been implementing these policies since 2007. These policies have begun to give positive results. In addition, the decrease in unemployment is linked to foreign investments, but also the policies to struggle unemployment by the government has affected.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 235-242
Author(s):  
Erni Arivia Roseline ◽  
Sucihatiningsih D.W.P

Pati is one regency that has the population with labor problems that is unemployment, and in 2013 Pati is a regency / city in Central Java with the fourth rank of unemployment rate. This research aims to make some program alternatives and to determine which alternative program that can be prioritized by the Government of Pati Regency in reducing the unemployment rate. The research uses the primary and secondary data. The analytical method used is Analysis Hierarchy Process (AHP) and it is processed using the expert choice version 9.0. The result of research indicates that the efforts to reduce the unemployment rate in Pati Regency can be prioritized on the criterion: (1) empowering the people, and followed by (2) the capital from the investors, and (3) the empowerment of economic business. And the priority scale from the entire program alternatives of unemployment problem solving is a program to improve the rural community empowerment. The advice that can be given from this research is that the Government of Pati Regency should continuously conduct the job training and coaching to improve the quality and skills of the labors and also should increase the job opportunities, and also should improve and perform the continuous improvement program of increasing the community empowerment so that the rural communities may have good quality to be able to compete with other labors.


2021 ◽  
pp. 269-273
Author(s):  
Mark Thornton

Austerity has been hotly debated as either an elixir or a poison for tough economic times. But what is austerity? Real austerity means that the government and its employees have less money at their disposal. For the economists at the International Monetary Fund, «austerity» may mean spending cuts, but it also means increasing taxes on the beleaguered public in order to, at all costs, repay the government’s corrupt creditors. Keynesian economists reject all forms of austerity. They promote the «borrow and spend» approach that is supposedly scientific and is gentle on the people: paycheck insurance for the unemployed, bailouts for failing businesses, and stimulus packages for everyone else. Austrian School economists reject both the Keynesian stimulus approach and the IMF-style high-tax, pro-bankster «Austerian» approach. Although «Austrians» are often lumped in with «Auste-rians,» Austrian School economists support real austerity. This involves cutting government budgets, salaries, employee benefits, retirement benefits, and taxes. It also involves selling government assets and even repudiating government debt. Despite all the hoopla in countries like Greece, there is no real austerity except in the countries of eastern Europe. For example, Latvia is Europe’s most austere country and also has its fastest growing economy. Estonia implemented an austerity policy that depended largely on cuts in government salaries. There simply is no austerity in most of western Europe or the U.S. As Professor Philipp Bagus explains, «the problem of Europe (and the United States) is not too much but too little austerity—or its complete absence.»


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 271
Author(s):  
Felicia C. Abada ◽  
Charles O. Manasseh ◽  
Ifeoma C. Nwakoby ◽  
Ngozi Franca Iroegbu ◽  
Johnson I. Okoh ◽  
...  

This study assessed the nature of the relationship between the size of the shadow economy and unemployment rate in Nigeria using the Tado-Yamamoto approach over the period 1980Q1 to 2018Q4. The size of the shadow economy in Nigeria was determined using the parsimonious model of MIMIC (4-1-2) having four multiple causes (tax burden, self-employment, social benefits paid by the government and unemployment rate) and two indicators (index of real Gross Domestic Product and currency ratio (M1/M2)). The estimated relationship of the size of shadow economy as percentage of official GDP recorded 13.78% at the beginning of the first quarter of 1980 before fluctuating to 8.23% in the third quarter of 2009. The existence of a strong and positive association between the unemployment rate and shadow economy is affirmed by the estimated coefficient of determination (0.89) which confirmed the capacity of the shadow economy to absorb the unemployed workers from the official economy in Nigeria. Evidence exists from the Tado and Yamamoto (1995) causality test which revealed a causal relationship emanating from unemployment rate to the size of shadow economy. This was confirmed by the Modified Wald (MWald) test which demonstrated that a strong unidirectional causality running from unemployment rate to the size of shadow economy exists at 1% level of significance.


Author(s):  
Aria Dimas Harapan

ABSTRACTThe essence of this study describes the theoretical study of the phenomenon transfortation services online. Advances in technology have changed the habits of the people to use online transfortation In fact despite legal protection in the service based services transfortation technological sophistication has not been formed and it became warm conversation among jurists. This study uses normative juridical research. This study found that the first, the Government must accommodate transfotation online phenomenon in the form of rules that provide legal certainty; second, transfortation online as part of the demands of the times based on technology; third, transfortation online as part of the creative economy for economic growth . 


Liquidity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 110-118
Author(s):  
Iwan Subandi ◽  
Fathurrahman Djamil

Health is the basic right for everybody, therefore every citizen is entitled to get the health care. In enforcing the regulation for Jaringan Kesehatan Nasional (National Health Supports), it is heavily influenced by the foreign interests. Economically, this program does not reduce the people’s burdens, on the contrary, it will increase them. This means the health supports in which should place the government as the guarantor of the public health, but the people themselves that should pay for the health care. In the realization of the health support the are elements against the Syariah principles. Indonesian Muslim Religious Leaders (MUI) only say that the BPJS Kesehatan (Sosial Support Institution for Health) does not conform with the syariah. The society is asked to register and continue the participation in the program of Social Supports Institution for Health. The best solution is to enforce the mechanism which is in accordance with the syariah principles. The establishment of BPJS based on syariah has to be carried out in cooperation from the elements of Social Supports Institution (BPJS), Indonesian Muslim Religious (MUI), Financial Institution Authorities, National Social Supports Council, Ministry of Health, and Ministry of Finance. Accordingly, the Social Supports Institution for Helath (BPJS Kesehatan) based on syariah principles could be obtained and could became the solution of the polemics in the society.


Liquidity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 190-200
Author(s):  
Muchtar Riva’i ◽  
Darwin Erhandy

The establishment of the KPPU is to control the implementation of the Act. No. 5/1999 on Concerning the Ban on Monopolistic Practices and Unfair Business Competition in Indonesia. Various duties and authority of the KPPU contained in Article 35 and Article 36 of the Act. But in reality, KPPU does not have executorial rights so that the various decisions of the commission often could not be implemented. Therefore internally strengthening of institutional existence by way of amending the Law Commission is very appropriate to be used by the government and parliament agenda. Externally, stakeholder participation is something very urgent and that the KPPU’s strategic optimally capable of performing their duties according to its motto: “Healthy competition Welfare of the people”.


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