scholarly journals Democracy, Conscription, and War: The Effects of Political Regimes and Types of Military Recruiting on the Initiation of Militarized Interstate Disputes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susumu Annaka ◽  
Munenori Kita ◽  
Naonari Yajima ◽  
Rui Asano
Keyword(s):  
Political Regimes ◽  
International Conflicts ◽  
Political Leaders ◽  
Military Recruitment ◽  
Military Recruiting ◽  
Interstate Disputes ◽  
The People ◽  
Cost Of War ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact

This paper presents an analysis of the impact of political regimes and type of military recruitment on the probability of the occurrence of international conflicts. In the last few years, the (re) introduction of military conscription has been a focus of public debate, but empirical analysis of the issue remains limited. We argue that democratic nations with conscription-based military recruitment in place are less likely to initiate international conflicts than those with voluntary recruitment because public opinion will estimate a higher probability of direct involvement in disputes, causing political leaders to refrain from conflicts, even though stable military resources are in place. On the other hand, authoritarian nations with conscription-based recruitment systems are more likely to engage in conflicts than those with voluntary recruitment systems because political leaders are not accountable to the people, even though the cost of war is calculated in the same manner as that in democratic nations. To test this reasoning, we use directed-dyadic data from 1816 to 2005. Our analysis strongly supports our theoretical expectations.

scholarly journals THE BATTLE OF THREE POLITICAL REGIMES IN MALAYSIA PRIOR AND POST GE 14TH: AN ANALYSIS OF BARISAN NASIONAL, PAKATAN HARAPAN & THE FORMATION OF PERIKATAN NASIONAL (PN)

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
pp. 29-38
Author(s):  
Mohammad Tawfik Yaakub
Keyword(s):  
Political Influence ◽  
General Election ◽  
Political Regime ◽  
Political Regimes ◽  
The People ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Opposition Movement ◽  
Opposition Parties

This chapter discusses the battle of the three political regimes in Malaysia, the Barisan Nasional (BN) and Pakatan Harapan (PH), in the 14th General Election and the formation of Perikatan Nasional (PN) after the collapse of the PH government. The BN coalition has shown its political influence throughout 63 years of ruling the country since independence which has been hard to break by other opposition parties in Malaysia. BN has manipulated various government instruments in ruling to form a strong political hegemony that affects the voting behaviour of voters in determining rational choice, especially when elections are conducted. However, the strong political domination has been broken by the opposition movement that began in the 12th General Election that eventually toppled the old political regime, BN in the last GE-14. The failure of BN to defend its position as a government is due to several factors including scandals and misuse of power by political leaders, the weaknesses of the government in addressing economic issues, and pressures faced by the people on the cost of living, and limited employment opportunities. Issues that arise are then manipulated by the opposition parties at the same time, which managed to convince voters to change their support from BN to PH in the last GE-14. However, PH, which then had the opportunity to govern the country with a dilemma, as it failed to capitalize on the opportunity and fulfilled its manifesto as promised in their election campaigns. Subsequently, Malaysians, especially the voters in a series of by-election have begun to send a message to the government by voting for opposition candidates as a gesture of protest against the PH government. Furthermore, an analysis of the developments and dilemmas of the direction of the two political regimes before and after the GE-14 is discussed in detail in this chapter.

scholarly journals Understanding Political Psychology and Its Importance to the Malaysian Politics

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 74
Author(s):  
Khairul Azmi Mohamad ◽  
Nooraini Othman ◽  
Mazlan Ali
Keyword(s):  
Political Psychology ◽  
Political Leaders ◽  
Political Actors ◽  
Political Analysis ◽  
The People ◽  
Interesting Study ◽  
Political Studies ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Malaysian Politics ◽  
The Impact

This paper intends to describe political psychology and the importance of the subject matter to the Malaysian politics. Political studies in Malaysia are largely based on political science, political sociology and socio-political analysis. It is a high time that political environment and issues in Malaysia to be looked upon from a psychological perspective. It is important because the discipline will allow the understanding of why political leaders think and behave in a certain manner. It will also allow the appreciation of voters’ behaviour. These perspectives will enrich our ability to understand politics from different roots. In the context of Malaysia, studying political psychology will help to enhance the understanding of many variables related to the practice of politics in this country. The interactions between politics and psychology particularly the impact of psychology to politics would be an interesting study. As far as Malaysia is concerned, a deeper understanding on political psychology will help leaders to appreciate the nerves and needs of the people and they should put every effort to fulfil their aspirations. Political psychology should help to unfold the minds of the political actors as well as the voters.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KONDISI SOSIAL EKONOMI MASYARAKAT ATAS KEBERADAAN TAMAN NASIONAL TANJUNG PUTING DI KELURAHAN KUMAI HULU KABUPATEN KOTAWARINGIN BARAT

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 485
Author(s):  
Nindra Nindra ◽  
Arfa Agustina Rezekiah ◽  
Daniel Itta
Keyword(s):  
National Park ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Community Based ◽  
The People ◽  
Qualitative Descriptive ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Village ◽  
New Jobs

The socioeconomic aspects of the community around the ecotourism site will have an impact on the existence of community-based ecotourism, as well as the existence of Tanjung Puting National Park. This research aims to analyze the impact of Tanjung Puting National Park on the socio-economic condition of the people of Kumai Hulu Village. The location of the research was chosen the location of the village closest to TNTP. A sample of 98 respondents was taken purposively sampling on the grounds of the location of the village closest to ecotourism. Research methods by conducting interviews, observations and documentation. The data analysis used in this study is qualitative descriptive analysis. The impact of TNTP on social conditions in Kumai Hulu Village is high and for economic conditions is being seen with increasing economic opportunities such as trade, lodging and klotok transportation business. Tourism development will certainly have an impact on the conditions around tourism, both in the form of positive impacts such as improving people's living standards by creating new jobs and increasing people's incomes. The negative impact with this TNTP such as the price of basic and local goods increased and the cost of building facilities and infrastructure also increased.Aspek sosial ekonomi masyarakat yang ada disekitar lokasi ekowisata akan berdampak terhadap keberadaan ekowisata berbasis masyarakat, begitu pun dengan adanya Taman Nasional Tanjung Puting. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisisis dampak Taman Nasional Tanjung Puting terhadap kondisi sosial ekonomi masyarakat Kelurahan Kumai Hulu. Penetapan lokasi penelitian dipilih lokasi kelurahan yang paling dekat dengan TNTP. Sampel responden untuk dilakukan wawancara berjumlah 98 orang yang diambil secara purposive sampling dengan alasan lokasi kelurahan yang paling dekat dengan ekowisata. Metode penelitian dengan melakukan wawancara, observasi serta dokumentasi. Analisis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis deskriptif kualitatif. Dampak adanya TNTP terhadap kondisi sosial di Kelurahan Kumai Hulu adalah tinggi dan untuk kondisi ekonomi adalah sedang hal ini terlihat dengan meningkatnya peluang ekonomi seperti perdagangan, penginapan serta usaha transportasi klotok. Pengembangan pariwisata tentu saja akan memberikan dampak terhadap kondisi sekitar pariwisata, baik berupa dampak positif seperti meningkatkan taraf hidup masyarakat dengan menciptakan lapangan pekerjaan baru serta meningkatkan pendapatan masyarakat. Dampak negative dengan adanya TNTP ini seperti harga barang-barang pokok dan lokal meningkat dan biaya pembangunan sarana dan prasarana juga meningkat.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Land Subsidence Impact at Lowland Areas Using Analitycal Hierarchy Process (AHP) Method

2018 ◽  
Vol 68 ◽  
pp. 04017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andriani ◽  
Eddy Ibrahim ◽  
Dinar Dwi Anugerah Putranto ◽  
Azhar Kholiq Affandi
Keyword(s):  
Land Subsidence ◽  
Social Aspects ◽  
Ahp Method ◽  
A Value ◽  
The People ◽  
Indirect Impact ◽  
Tidal Area ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Hierarchy Process

Land subsidence is a problem that often occurs in lowland areas. The impact of land subsidence causes losses in the economic, physical, ecological and social aspects. The impact of land subsidence could be felt directly and indirectly by the people, so an evaluation of the most frequent (dominant) impacts needs to be done. One method that could be use for assesment using AHP, using pairwise comparisons can be obtained the most frequent (dominant) land subsidence impact. From the results of the study indicate that the direct impact due to land subsidence (weight 0.608)) is more dominant than the indirect impact (0.392). Based on the value of each parameter, three dominant land subsidence impacts are infrastructure damage with a value of 0.387, an increase in the cost of infrastructure construction and maintenance with a value of 0.193 and a flood of 0.129. The results of observations and ground checking at the Tanjung Api-Api area, there was damage to several floors of residents' homes, damage to road and tilt of trees which were damaged in the economic field was the most dominant impact. While floods and seawater intrusion are not dominant in this area because the area is located in the tidal area.

scholarly journals The impact of economic interdependence on the probability of conflict between states

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mina E. Tanious
Keyword(s):  
Political Conflict ◽  
Armed Conflicts ◽  
Economic Interdependence ◽  
International Conflicts ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interstate Disputes ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Militarized Interstate Disputes

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore to what extent the economic interdependence can affect the likelihood of conflict between States. Specially, over the past few decades, there has been a huge interest in the relationship between economic interdependence and political conflict. Liberals argue that economic interdependence lowers the possibility of war by increasing the weight of trading over the alternative of aggression; interdependent states would rather trade than invade; realists dismiss the liberal argument, arguing that high interdependence increases rather than decreases the probability of war. In anarchy, states must constantly worry about their security. Design/methodology/approach This paper highlights the content and level of economic interdependence between China and the USA since the beginning of China’s economic reform in 1979 and examines the impact of economic interdependence between them on their relationship toward Taiwan since 1995 and the probability of conflict. Findings Economic interdependence is proved to significantly decrease the onset of conflict between the two parties. This can be shown by comparing the number of armed conflicts during the pre-interdependence period to the number of armed conflicts after the economic interdependence there was an overage of 0.79 militarized interstate disputes (MIDs)/year, compared to 0.26 MIDs/year following China’s economic reforms; also, the length of the hostilities was longer during the pre-interdependence period (with an average of 11.13 months versus 5.33 months). Originality/Value This means that economic interdependence does not completely prevent the outbreak of international conflicts, but it also plays a major role in influencing the conflict in terms of the conflict’s intensity, the use of armed force and the number of conflicts that occur between the economic interdependence states.

scholarly journals Optimization of the protection against railway vibrations on the example of railway control building in Biała Rawska

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Filip Pachla ◽  
Bartosz Radecki-Pawlik ◽  
Krzysztof Stypuła ◽  
Tadeusz Tatara
Keyword(s):  
Vibration Isolation ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Original Design ◽  
Work Time ◽  
Design Work ◽  
Railway Traffic ◽  
General Contractor ◽  
The People ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact

The work presents the design process of vibration isolation for a building subjected to the influence of railway vibrations. This process is illustrated on the example of the railway control building in Biała Rawska, realized within the framework of the investment whose the general contractor was PORR Poland Construction S.A. Measurements of railway vibrations at the site of the planned building were made. The building calculation model was performed and then the vibration isolation parameters of the building were calculated based on the simulation calculations of this model. The purpose of the described design work was to limit the impact of vibration on the people and the equipment in the computer server room located in this building. The original design of the rail track vibration insulation was replaced by the building vibration project. This allowed to optimize work time, reduced railway traffic interruptions and the cost of vibration isolation.

scholarly journals Lockdown Policy Dilemma: COVID-19 Pandemic versus Economy and Mental Health

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-58
Author(s):  
Hasan Ahamed ◽  
Kazi Tanvir Hasan ◽  
Md. Tamzid Islam ◽  
Faisal Chowdhury Galib
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Human Life ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
The People ◽  
The World ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact

Lockdown is considered to be the best of policies around the world to fight the deadly virus of COVID-19 which decimated hundreds of people in the last six months. However, this is not a cost-free measure. Billions of dollars worth of economic activities halted hinging upon these measures imposed by the governments of the countries. For instance, IMF predicted that the GDP growth will decline by 4.9 percent in 2020. Global trade is also expected to plummet by 27 percent in the second quarter of the year. In addition, paucity of recreational activities severely affects the mental health of the people. While imposing lockdown, both the cost and benefit should be analyzed to understand the real benefit of these measures on human life. This study critically examines the impact of the lockdown measures on mental health, and the economy of Bangladesh along with the efficacy of the measures on containing the virus. We found that the negative impact on the economy and mental health surpasses the positive impact of curbing the pandemic. It also compares the efficacy of the measures in different countries to find out the pattern that resembles with Bangladesh. From all the data, we conclude that the cost of lockdown measures in the country is greater than the benefit it brings to Bangladesh.

The 1916 Bongo ‘Riots’ and Their Background: Aspects of Colonial Administration and African Response in Eastern Upper Ghana

1983 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger G. Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Local Level ◽  
Local Administration ◽  
Popular Participation ◽  
Military Recruitment ◽  
Land Dispute ◽  
The People ◽  
The First World War ◽  
Northern Territories ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Way

Several recent studies have examined the impact of the First World War on the people, and rulers – alien and indigenous - of West Africa. Diverse societies responded in a variety of ways to a situation in which extraordinary demands from the colonial rulers - of which direct military recruitment was only one - were often accompanied by administrative and military contraction at the local level.This paper examines the way in which wartime conditions in the Zouaragu (Zuarungu) and Bawku districts of what is now upper Ghana exposed the weakness of the indigenous administrative structure recently constructed by the British. Here, in many instances, chiefs had been imposed, or at least had had their powers qualitatively changed and substantially increased, in societies that were traditionally organized on a kinship basis. The War seemed to provide an opportunity for an overthrow of this structure, which had enabled many of the chiefs to establish harshly exploitative relations with their subjects. An upsurge of disobedience to chiefly orders was followed in the Bongo area by a land dispute which flared into disturbances in which a constable was killed. These disturbances and an incident in the neighbouring Bawku District were taken as a sign of revolt and ruthlessly crushed by a local administration intent on teaching an unforgettable lesson.Governor Clifford in Accra anatomized the inadequacies of administrative control and condemned his officers' brutal response to the disturbances, but offered little in the way of suggestions for the reform of the chieftaincy system despite clear indications that local hostility was directed more against it than against colonial rule per se. Neither were reform proposals forthcoming from the Northern Territories administration. Thus the severity of the British response to popular opposition to chiefly power was a factor in enabling some chiefs to continue as ‘spoilers’ rather than ‘fathers’ of their people even after the introduction of formal Indirect Rule in the 1930s had nominally broadened popular participation in local administration.

scholarly journals Training Foreign Militaries for Peace – U.S. IMET and Militarized Interstate Disputes 1976-2007

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-61
Author(s):  
Sandor Fabian
Keyword(s):  
Military Personnel ◽  
Military Force ◽  
Military Aid ◽  
Civil Military Relations ◽  
Interstate Disputes ◽  
Cost Of War ◽  
Military Relations ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Military ◽  
Militarized Interstate Disputes

How do U.S. International Military Education and Training programs affect the recipient states` behavior in militarized interstate disputes? While the relationship between U.S. military aid in the form of arms and equipment transfer and MID involvement has been studied extensively in international relations literature the effects of U.S. IMET programs on the same phenomena has been largely ignored. This study intends to fill some of this gap. This paper proposes that American educated and trained foreign military personnel return home with a better understanding about the role of the military as an instrument of national power, civil-military relations, and the cost of war. These military personnel advise their political masters against the use of military force during international disputes leading to a decreased probability of both MID initiation and escalation. To test this argument the analysis employs a merged dataset from the Correlates of War Projects and the most prominent U.S. IMET and coups data. Using logistic regression analysis this study finds that more U.S. IMET support a country receives the less likely it initiates MIDs. The analysis also finds that countries that receive U.S. IMET support are less likely to escalate ongoing MIDs to higher levels of hostility.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document