scholarly journals PREDICTIVE ASSESSMENT OF RESOURCE SECTOR IMPACT FOR INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIAN ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 248-258
Author(s):  
Vladimir V. Shmat

The article notes the need for the transition of the resource sector of the Russian economy to an innovative development path and shows the potential for this. Some results of constructing a scenario forecast of the Russian economy development using the expert-statistical Bayesian method are presented. The peculiarity of the method: it is based on expert estimates and allows you to make forecasts in conditions of severe uncertainty. A predictive assessment of the resource sector impact on innovation in Russia in the period until 2030-2035 was made in the framework of the study. According to experts, the existing potential will not be fully utilized. Insufficient participation of the resource sector in the national innovation process is projected; attraction to import is the most likely. This reflects the general trend of the forecasted scientific and technological development of a country with a “sluggish” innovation market: insufficient supply, insufficient demand and the weak mechanism of the relationship between the first and second.

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrey Prigulnyy

Innovative development of Russia is explored in the article as a complex process that reflects the latest trends in the production, stockpiling and use of modern knowledge, priorities of scientific and technological development, changes in the structure and dynamics of the financing, development and implementation of innovative technologies in the public research centers, universities and private sector companies economy, formation of research and innovation policies aimed at making the research and preparation for the future of innovation sphere. The problem is to organize support the positive dynamics of the innovation process. The solution is possible based on the integration efforts of the Russian society to create a system of technological and socio-economic forecasting, select sources of funding long-term priorities of fundamental and applied science, education for constructive solutions to the problems facing Russia. In line with the above priorities, the author examined the key factors that characterize tendenuiyu accelerate the innovative development of the Russian economy: the global growth of knowledge-intensive production of gross domestic product, the priorities of the state scientific and technical policy of the most economically developed countries, strategies for high-tech business leaders.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 171
Author(s):  
Alexander Semin ◽  
Marina Vasiljeva ◽  
Alexander Sokolov ◽  
Nikolay Kuznetsov ◽  
Maksim Maramygin ◽  
...  

The study is aimed at determining the oscillators of crisis manifestations when the Russian economy tries to make transition to the path for accelerating technological development and forming an innovative economy. Short-term cycles were determined in the development of the Russian economy from 1995 to the first half of 2020 through the Fourier spectral analysis. Using the Granger test, causal relationships between the leading indicators of the economic crisis and the real GDP index in Russia were identified and substantiated. They reflect the influence of the key rate dynamics on the volume of lending, savings, investments, the yield on securities and the exchange rate; volumes of bank loans per the share of non-performing and bad loans and innovative development of the economy. Based on the constructed neural models of the oscillator influence on the level of real GDP in Russia, it was determined that the rapid growth of bank and mortgage lending, the devaluation of the ruble, a decreased volume of gross foreign investment and the level of innovative development predetermine crisis manifestations in the national economy. The lags of the influence of changes in the leading indicators of the economic crisis on the development of the economy were calculated. The results obtained can contribute to the effectiveness of the anti-crisis regulation strategy in Russia. They can serve as a basis for increasing the efficiency of long-term innovative development and creating appropriate conditions for increasing the scientific and technological potential of the country.


1984 ◽  
Vol 97 ◽  
pp. 1-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Conroy

The intimate, though as yet imperfectly understood, causal relation-ship between scientific and technological development and the economic growth in industrially advanced countries over the past 30 years has been investigated and refined over a number of years, and attempts have been made to quantify the relationship. Although a strong scientific and technological (S & T) base does not by itself guarantee rapid economic growth, most observers consider it to be a necessary prerequisite, after a certain level of development has been reached. One of the main ways that S & T act on the economic system is by the generation of new knowledge through research activities and the application of this in production. Such application often results in new products and processes which are grouped under the term “technological innovations.” The innovation process is usually defined as “the technical, industrial and commercial steps which lead to the successful marketing of new manufactured products and/or to the commercial use of technically new processes or equipment.”


Author(s):  
Natalia Vasetskaya

The present research featured scientific and technical policy papers in Russia. The research objective was to study the normative legal acts that determine the strategic scientific and technological development of the country. The paper contains an analysis of the goals stated in these documents and defines the efficiency of the target indicators. The study was based on systematization methods, content analysis, and comparative analysis of the main strategic legal acts that form Russian scientific and technical policy. These documents are divided into two groups. The first one contains the goals and objectives of scientific and technological development, but no quantitative values of targets, or indicators, of scientific and technological development. The second group specifies these indicators. The study revealed that not all the goals outlined in the policy papers have been met, and there are targets for scientific and technological development that have not been achieved yet. Moreover, some of the measures provided in the policy papers were implemented with a noticeable delay or were not implemented at all. For instance, the list of end-to-end technologies still remains unapproved. All these issues hindered the development of Russian competitive high-tech sector of goods and services: the country failed to develop mechanisms that could stimulate its transition to innovative development of real sector enterprises and to improve the resource base for scientific and technological complex.


Author(s):  
Elena F. Nikitskaya ◽  
M. A. Valishvili ◽  
Irina A. Gorbacheva ◽  
T. P. Oslopova

The article analyzes trends in innovative development at the national, regional and municipal levels of the Russian economy. The situation of innovation stagnation in the country is revealed, which occurred despite the active innovation policy pursued by the Federal government. As a result of the study of statistical indicators, it was found that low innovation activity in the Russian economy is due to the fact that innovation growth is significantly slowing down at the regional level. The authors concluded that the sharp differentiation of innovative production volumes in the Russian regions is a consequence of the gap in the interaction of economic levels, as well as the weak involvement of municipalities in the innovation process. Within the framework of the study, a scheme of interaction between government authorities for the development of innovative activities at the municipal level has been developed.


Author(s):  
Vitaliy Omelyanenko ◽  

The huge potential of innovations to achieve the goals of sustainable development is indisputable, but at the same time the task of orienting the innovation process to its most problematic areas, which is a threat to national security, arises. This issue is relevant in the context of the formation of mechanisms of interaction between the state, business and society and is an urgent scientific and practical problem. Based on the above, the purpose of the study is to analyze the main components of innovation development strategies in the framework of national strategies for sustainable development. In the study, the author improved the scheme of the relationship between development and security, which is focused on achieving development and security goals through appropriate innovation policies and development management. Taking into account the importance of innovative development, as well as the national characteristics of the relationship between it and the goals of sustainable development, a practical approach to the coherence of innovation policy for sustainable development is proposed. It is determined that for the implementation of the coherence of innovation policy for sustainable development, an analytical component is important, which will link the goals of sustainable development and indicators of the innovation system as the basis for their achievement. To determine the impact of innovative development on the sustainable development of Ukraine, the impact of the indicator of goal 9 on the other 16 goals is determined. The components of the national system «sustainable development – security» are identified and evaluated on the basis of Sustainable Development Report 2019. As prospects for using the developed methodology of institutional innovation (creating institutional conditions for innovative priorities of sustainable development) it is proposed to consider it in the context of achieving sustainable goals development (systematic integration of economic, social and environmental aspects of sustainable development) at the regional level.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 32-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. B. Lenchuk ◽  
V. I. Filatov

Topic. The subject of the article is the analysis of approaches to overcoming the stagnation of scientific and technological development of the Russian economy in the context of the emerging system of strategic planning in the Russian Federation.Purpose. The authors set the following main tasks. First — based on the assessment of the current situation in the field of scientific and technological development of the Russian Federation — to analyse the tools used for strategic planning of scientific and technological development for their internal connectivity. Second — based on analysis mentioned above — to form the directions of further development and improvement of the formed system of strategic planning of scientific and technological development in the RF.Methods. The logistic analysis of the developed documents of strategic planning of scientific and technological development of the Russian Federation on the subject of their substantial conjugacy and compliance with the logic and requirements of the Federal law No. 172 “On strategic planning in the Russian Federation” made it possible to formulate proposals for its further development and improvement.Results. The analysis showed that Federal law No. 172 “On strategic planning in the Russian Federation” forms the conceptual basis for strategic planning of scientific and technological development in the RF. Further development and improvement of the formed system of strategic planning of scientific and technological development of the RF should take place in the direction of strengthening the substantive interface of strategic planning documents (strategies and programs) at the Federal level with similar documents at the industry and regional levels. To this end, it is necessary, first, to finalize, in the context of the tasks of scientific and technological development, the methodological requirements for the documents of the sectoral and regional level and, secondly, to ensure the logic (sequence) of the development of such documents, allowing to really ensuring their meaningful internal relationship.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1465-1476
Author(s):  
K.N. Andrianov ◽  
◽  
Y.V. Popkov ◽  
A.K. Markov ◽  
E.E. Mozhaev ◽  
...  

In this article, the authors analyze the experience of strategic planning for the scientific and technological development of the PRC. It is concluded that: largely due to effective strategic planning, over the past 15 years, the PRC has multiplied its economic potential and has become one of the most powerful countries in the world. The achievements of the PRC in the development of advanced technologies are especially impressive. The PRC has managed to create from scratch high-tech export-oriented sectors of the economy that are competitive in the world market. The characteristic features of the Chinese scientific and technological development management system are revealed: a clear definition of priority areas of scientific and technological development, concentrating efforts on a limited number of areas of science and technology development that are important for increasing the competitiveness of the national economy; planning manages scientific and technological development, the main one envisaging environmental achievement of long-term and moment of short-term goals, development and certain implementation of such long-term integrated marine programs, software R&D and innovative development; government stimulation of effective cooperation between science, education and business in ensuring the entire innovation cycle - from fundamental research to the introduction of developments in production, for the development of high-tech sectors; the use of a significant part of export earnings for the acquisition of modern equipment technologies; strict regulation of foreign investments in order to direct them to the sectors of new and high technologies; a harmonious combination of planning and market management methods in the development of small innovative business. Particular attention is paid to the consideration of the main elements of the state scientific and technological policy of the PRC. In addition, the authors conduct a detailed analysis of the main documents of the strategic planning of the PRC in the field of innovative development.


Author(s):  
М.А. Измайлова

Цифровая трансформация общества несет в себе огромные возможности для создания новых технологических секторов и бизнес-моделей, экономического роста страны и повышения качества жизни населения. Одновременно с этим предъявляются новые требования к квалификации кадров, включающие умение управлять цифровыми технологиями. Основным актором цифровых преобразований становится молодежь, демонстрирующая свою возрастающую активность в экономической сфере и общественной жизни. На молодое поколение как носителя инновационного потенциала возлагается немало надежд в прорывном научно-технологическом развитии российской экономики. The digital transformation of society brings huge opportunities for creating new technological sectors and business models, economic growth of the country and improving the quality of life of the population. At the same time, there are new requirements for the qualification of personnel, including the ability to manage digital technologies. The main factor of digital transformation is young people, demonstrating their increasing activity in the economic sphere and public life. The young generation as a carrier of innovative potential has a lot of hopes in the breakthrough scientific and technological development of the Russian economy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 186 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 66-74
Author(s):  
Elena Bessonova ◽  
◽  
Rustam Battalov ◽  

Under modern economic conditions, digitalization of the economy is a strategic development priority in many countries. The introduction of technologies that promote digitalization of the economy allows the state, businesses and society to interact effectively in order to increasingly large-scale and dynamic process. Digital economy is becoming a critical driver of innovation, economic growth and competitiveness. Introduction of digital technologies opens up new opportunities for cooperation at all stages of the innovation process. The constant exchange of ideas and data sharing accelerate the innovation process fast and make it sustainable. A model of innovative development based on digitalization tools has been proposed. The authors have identified opportunities, detected threats in view of the pandemics events of 2020, revealed constraints of economic activity under lockdown, developed support measures by taking into account the specifics of digital transformation, summarized the results and focused on improving the ICT infrastructure and integrating digital technologies into the real sector of the economy. The conclusions and generalizations made in the course of the research, aswell as the model of innovative development and recommendations for increasing the efficiency of the implementation of measures to support innovation in the context of digital transformation can be used to develop plans and programs for the development of territories.


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