scholarly journals Impact of the demographic dividend on economic growth

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 85-135
Author(s):  
Zarina Kazbekova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Demographic Dividend ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Working Age Population

In the context of the working-age population decline in the Russian Federation, the study of the influence of the dynamics of the share of the working -age population on economic growth is of particular interest. The main purpose of the article is to assess the contribution of the first demographic dividend to the GDP per capita growth rate in Russia betwеen 1997 and 2015. The main methods used by the author of this work are statistical analysis and econometric modeling based on Rosstat data. According to the results obtained in the course of this study, the first demographic dividend provided about 13% growth of real GDP per capita in the Russian Federation in 1997-2015. It has been proved that the age structure of the population is important.

Analyzing the parameters of building the Russian capitalism

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 2295-2316
Author(s):  
Valerii V. SMIRNOV
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Government

Subject. The article addresses the Russian capitalism. Objectives. The purpose is to identify parameters of building the Russian capitalism. Methods. The study draws on the systems approach, using the methods of statistical, neural network, and cluster analysis. Results. The study revealed the parameters of building the Russian capitalism, like the structural balance of public administration, volatility in the growth rate of exports and imports of goods and services, a decrease in the growth rate of exports and imports of goods and services, net government lending and borrowing, GDP per capita, general government expenditure. The optimal cluster for building the Russian capitalism is the relationship between Russia and the United States in the context of GDP per capita in national currencies. The study expands the scope of knowledge and develops the competencies of the government of the Russian Federation to ensure the economic growth. Conclusions. The unveiled parameters of building the Russian capitalism, as well as understanding the reasons for the emergence of the Russian State capitalism as a form of merging of the American market economy and Chinese planned economy enable the government of the Russian Federation to effectively orient its actions towards economic growth.

scholarly journals Research of the attractiveness of municipal districts and cities of the Republic of Bashkortostan using component and cluster analyzes

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Miliausha Akhmetzianova ◽  
Alsu Atnabaeva
Keyword(s):  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Legal Status ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Component Analysis ◽  
Republic Of Bashkortostan ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
The Republic

According to Rosstat, today in 56 regions of the Russian Federation there is a negative population dynamics. For 52 regions, this decline is explained by natural population decline, of which 42 regions have a negative migration balance. The Republic of Bashkortostan is included in the group of regions with a high level of outflow of young working-age population. This trend has been observed for 14 years, which may indicate that the conditions provided by municipalities do not correspond to the desired standard of living of the population. In this case, two components of the problem under consideration can be distinguished: on the one hand, residents are moving to other constituent entities of the Russian Federation, and on the other, the population is centralized in large cities within the region. In this connection, this article is devoted to the disclosure of the specifics of migration through the analysis of the level of attractiveness of territories for the working-age population. The aim of the study is to assess the labor attractiveness of municipal districts and cities of the Republic of Bashkortostan. As part of the study, a component analysis of 62 municipalities was carried out (CATA) Mizhgirya was not included in the analysis due to the specifics of the legal status of this municipal formation) for 13 indicators characterizing the socio-economic situation of districts and cities that affect population migration. The results of the component analysis formed the basis for assessing the level of attractiveness by calculating the coefficient through a single integral indicator. The indicators of the first component were used to conduct cluster analysis, as a result of which 5 clusters of municipal districts and cities were formed, characterizing the level of attractiveness of the territory. Using the above methods, on the basis of a comprehensive multivariate assessment, the coefficients of attractiveness of territories and the intervals of their belonging to clusters were determined. The clusters of territories obtained in the course of the analysis and mathematical calculations of assessments of attractiveness formed the basis for constructing a cartographic scheme for the distribution of municipal districts and cities of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The scientific novelty of the study consists in combining the results of a comprehensive multifactorial assessment of the territory from the standpoint of determining the factors of attractiveness (component analysis) and methods of spatial grouping of territories (cluster analysis), which make it possible to determine the coefficients of attractiveness of municipalities and the intervals of their belonging to clusters. From a practical point of view, the results of the study formed the basis for constructing a cartographic scheme for the distribution of municipal districts and cities of the Republic of Bashkortostan, which makes it possible to increase the effectiveness of state policy measures in the field of regulating migration processes in the region by developing specific measures taking into account the peculiarities of the development of a particular group of territories.

Does financial development accelerate economic growth?

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 426-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Besnik Taip Fetai
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita

Purpose This study aims to empirically explore whether there is causality and in which direction, i.e. whether financial development generates economic growth or whether financial development merely follows economic growth in transition European countries, including Russian Federation and Turkey, during 1998-2015. Design/methodology/approach The study uses different techniques such as pooled OLS, fixed and random effects and the Hausman–Taylor model with instrumental variables. Findings The regression results show a positive relationship between financial development indicators and real GDP per capita growth, thus supporting the hypothesis that finance leads economic growth. The result also shows that financial crisis has a negative effect on real GDP per capita growth. Furthermore, these findings show that government spending and inflation have a negative impact on real GDP per capita growth. The study also shows that financial development plays growth-supporting role in real GDP per capita growth in 20 European countries in transition, including Russian Federation and Turkey. Practical implications As financial development generates real GDP per capita growth, on the basis of the results of the study, a course of action that involves institutional improvement and incentivizing competition in the financial sector is recommended to the Central Banks’ policymakers in transition economies. These will in turn lead to higher real GDP per capita growth. Originality/value The study is original in nature and makes effort to promote financial development in transition European countries, including Russian Federation and Turkey. The findings of this study will be of value to Central Banks and other policymakers.

Some Issues of Morbidity with Temporary Incapacity for Work in the Ural Federal District

2021 ◽  
pp. 37-44
Author(s):  
AS Shastin ◽  
VG Gazimova ◽  
OL Malykh ◽  
TS Ustyugova ◽  
TM Tsepilova
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Disease Incidence ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Statistical Information ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Common ◽  
Working Age Population

Introduction: In the context of a decreasing size of the working-age population, monitoring of the health status and disease incidence in this cohort shall be one of the most important tasks of public and occupational health professionals. Health risk management for the working population in the Russian Federation requires complete and reliable data on its morbidity, especially in view of the fact that its average age demonstrates a stable growth. It is, therefore, crucial to have precise and consistent information about the morbidity of the working-age population. Objective: The study aimed to assess incidence rates of diseases with temporary incapacity for work in the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District of the Russian Federation. Materials and methods: We reviewed data on disease incidence rates published by the Federal State Statistics Service in the Common Interdepartmental System of Statistical Information, Section 15.12, Causes of Temporary Disability, and Section 2.9.I.4, Federal Project for Public Health Promotion. The constituent entities under study were ranked according to the number of cases and days of temporary incapacity per 100 workers and E.L. Notkin scale was used to determine grade the incidence. The statistical analysis was performed using STATISTICA 10 software. Long-term average values of certain indicators, median values, standard deviation (σ) and coefficients of variation were estimated. The difference in the indices was assessed using the Mann-Whitney test. Results: Compared to 2010, incidence rates of diseases with temporary incapacity for work in the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District in 2019 demonstrated a significant decline. The sharp drop was observed in 2015. We also established that the Common Interdepartmental System of Statistical Information contains contradictory information on disease incidence. Conclusion: It is expedient to consider the issue of revising guidelines for organization of federal statistical monitoring of morbidity with temporary incapacity for work and to include this indicator in the system of public health monitoring.

Measuring the Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth

2007 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislav Ivanov ◽  
Craig Webster
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Equilibrium Models ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium Models ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Impact

This paper presents a methodology for measuring the contribution of tourism to an economy's growth, which is tested with data for Cyprus, Greece and Spain. The authors use the growth of real GDP per capita as a measure of economic growth and disaggregate it into economic growth generated by tourism and economic growth generated by other industries. The methodology is compared with other existing methodologies; namely, Tourism Satellite Account, Computable General Equilibrium models and econometric modelling of economic growth.

scholarly journals Immigration from the CIS countries to Russia in the context of the economic crisis in the Russian Federation

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 677-694
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Piekutowska ◽  
Monika Fiedorczuk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Foreign Labour ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Cis Countries

Research background: A series of changes towards the greater openness to the influx of foreign labour force made in recent years in the Russian Federation prompts for analysis of immigration to this country as adopted solutions in the field of the migration policy affect other regions of destination (e.g. EU). Liberalisation of access of migrants to the Russian labour market is a part of a wider problem: competition (on an international scale) for an influx of foreign labour force. In this context, it is worth examining how the crisis which affected the Russian economy influenced the scale of immigration to Russia from the main sending countries, i.e. the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to show the impact of the crisis which affected the Russian economy in recent years on the scale of immigration from the CIS countries to Russia. The main hypothesis is as follows: the factor explaining immigration from the CIS countries to Russia is the difference in the level of income measured by GDP per capita (PPP) between the sending state and the country of destination. Such studies have not been undertaken so far and, due to the role of factors inherent in the concept of post-imperial migration, it becomes relevant to examine whether the factors shaping migration (including the differences in the level of income) recognised in the neoclassical theory of migration are important in explaining the flows in this area. Methods: In order to check the relationship between immigration and the economic crisis in Russia, the analysis of correlation and regression was used. Findings & Value added: It has been shown that despite the decline in GDP in Russia, immigration from the CIS countries to Russia is not decreasing. Therefore, it is a dependence different from the assumptions of the neoclassical economy according to which the reduction of differences in the level of income between the sending state and the country of destination reduces the scale of international migrations. As it has been shown, the scale of migration to Russia may not be explained by the difference in the level of GDP per capita in all CIS countries and, inter alia, political factors, conflicts or naturalisation processes become more important in shaping the scale of migration to Russia.

EXPORT-GROWTH NEXUS WHILE USING THE BLOCK EXOGENEITY: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-46
Author(s):  
Zia Ur Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Import Trade ◽  
Bound Test

The core objective of the study is to analyze the association between export and eco-nomic growth under the consideration of the time frame 1967 to 2017 for Pakistan economy. The review of literature assists to find out the frequently utilize factors are the real GDP per capita, export, import, trade openness, fiscal development and capi-tal formation possible determinants of the economic growth. However, Export Led Growth (ELG) hypothesis is oftenly employed to elaborate the affiliation between ex-port and the growth. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to cointegration accompanied with the structural break and vector auto regressive (VAR) are employed to analysis the long-term association among real GDP per capita, ex-port, import, trade openness, fiscal development and capital formation. The empirical analysis confirms the cointegration among the factors and the ELG hypothesis holds in Pakistan economy. The Block Exogeneity reveals that export and the capital for-mation have strong influence to stimulate the economic growth. While all the other factors have cumulative influence on the growth. Moreover, the impulse response exposes that if the shock of real GDP per capita, import, trade openness, fiscal devel-opment and the capital formation are given to the export, then response of export would be positive in the coming time frame.

scholarly journals The morbidity, disability, and mortality associated with respiratory diseases in the Russian Federation (2015 – 2019)

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 551-561
Author(s):  
Elena V. Bystritskaya ◽  
Tatiana N. Bilichenko
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Respiratory Diseases ◽  
Maximum Level ◽  
Federal State ◽  
Female Population ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population ◽  
Far Eastern

Respiratory diseases (RD) represent one of the most urgent issues in Russian health care and have high socio-economic significance.The aim. To study the dynamics of total morbidity and mortality in the Russian Federation, as well as the mortality associated with RD in the working-age population in 2015 – 2019.Methods. The official statistical data of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation and the Federal State Statistics Service were analyzed.Results. In 2019, the total RD-associated morbidity increased by 5.4%, and the prevalence of pneumonia increased by 29.0% compared to 2015. In 5 federal districts (FD), the morbidity exceeded the average Russian morbidity in 2019 (40,694.7). The maximum level was observed in the North-Western FD (50,224.1). The prevalence of pneumonia (Russia – 524.4) in 4 FDs exceeded the average Russian prevalence. The maximum level was reported in the Far Eastern FD (749.2 cases per 100 thousand of the total population). The RD-associated mortality rate in Russia was 51.8 cases per 100 thousand in 2015 and 41.6 cases per 100 thousand in 2018 (–19.7%). In 2018, the highest RD-associated mortality was observed in the Siberian FD (68.0) and Far Eastern FD (57.8 per 100 thousand people). From January to December 2019, the highest mortality associated with pneumonia in the working-age population was observed in the Far Eastern FD (28.2 per 100 thousand people). The RD-associated mortality rate in the male population was 4.2 times higher than in the female population (26.7 and 6.3, respectively, per 100 thousand persons of matching age).Conclusion. The highest morbidity was found in 2018 and 2019 in the Northwestern FD and Far Eastern FD. The RD-associated mortality in the Siberian FD and Far Eastern FD exceeded the average Russian values. This last observation requires additional research to improve the quality of medical care.

scholarly journals Morbidity of the working-age population of the Russian Federation for 2015–2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (12) ◽  
pp. 1487-1494
Author(s):  
Aleksandr S. Shastin ◽  
Olga L. Malykh ◽  
Venera G. Gazimova ◽  
Tatyana M. Tsepilova ◽  
Tatyana S. Ustyugova
Keyword(s):  
Health Status ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Disease Incidence ◽  
Adult Population ◽  
National Level ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Prevalence Rates ◽  
Working Age ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Working Age Population

Introduction. The quality of labour potential is one of the most important factors of economic growth, which largely depends on the health status of the working-age population. Today, incidence and prevalence rates in the Russian working-age population are not monitored at the national level. Materials and methods. We conducted a descriptive epidemiological study based on retrospective data on disease incidence in the adult population of the Russian Federation. We also assessed disease incidence and prevalence in the Russian working-age population (men aged 18-59 and women aged 18-54) in 2015-2019 using the method of continuous observation. We estimated and ranked incidence and prevalence rates per 100,000 working-age population of some constituent entities and federal districts of the Russian Federation to establish the territories with the highest and lowest rates. Results. We applied and tested methodological approaches to assessing the morbidity of the working-age population living in different regions of the Russian Federation. Our findings demonstrate a high degree of variability in both incidence and prevalence rates in the working-age population in general and by ICD-10 disease categories. Conclusion. Results of our assessments and ranking of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation by disease-specific incidence and prevalence rates in the working-age population provide an opportunity to areas at risk with specific health status enabling the most efficient management of risks of labour and economic losses. The proven method approaches may be used to address the challenges of public health monitoring.

Energy Consumption - Economic Growth Relationship and Carbon Emissions in Twelve Provinces of West of China

2012 ◽  
Vol 178-181 ◽  
pp. 885-892 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Ping Bai ◽  
Jing Yang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Great Effort ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Real Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Level Group

This paper applies the panel unit root, heterogeneous panel cointegration and panel-based dynamic OLS to re-investigate the co-movement and relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for 12 provinces(autonomous regions, municipalities) in West of China from 1989 to 2009. The empirical results show that there is a positive long-run cointegrated relationship between real GDP per capita and energy consumption variables. Furthermore, we investigate three cross-regional groups, namely the stronger-level, medium-level and weaker-level groups, and get more important results and implications. In the long-term, a 1% increase in real GDP per capita increases the consumption of energy by different rates for three groups respectively, and subsequently it increases at different rates in three groups of the carbon emissions in West of China. The economic growth in stronger-level group is energy-dependent to a great extent, and the income elasticity of energy consumption in stronger-level group is over several times than that of the weaker-level groups. At present, West of China are subject to tremendous pressures formitigating climate change issues. It is possible that the GDP per capita elasticity of carbon emissions would be controlled in a range that orients sustainable development by the great effort.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document