scholarly journals Factors and influence of modern challenges on demographic situation in Siberian regions

2021 ◽  
Vol 885 (1) ◽  
pp. 012029
Author(s):  
Yu N Dmitrieva

Abstract The article determines basic factors that influence on demographic processes in Siberia. It is underlined that fall of relative reproduction indices reflects natural transition of population groups born in 1990s to reproductive age. We analysed indices of birthrate, death rate and natural population growth among Siberian regions. It is distinguished that natural population growth is typical for districts with traditionally high relative birthrate indices and for those with high salary level. The author underlines that value of average total birthrate coefficient is not enough for simple reproduction of population in the region. In the article we have presented the reasons of migration outflow from Siberian subjects to the west of the country. It is emphasized that modern social tendencies in the society are challenges for demographic situation in Siberia: high indices of divorces, late giving birth to the first child, orientation for having one child in a family.

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 59-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valery V. Patsiorkovskiy ◽  
Yuriy A. Simagin ◽  
Dzhamilya D. Murtuzalieva

During the period from the end of 2010 and up to the beginning of 2018, after a long pause, we saw an increase in the population of the Russian Federation. Meanwhile, on most of the country’s territory the population has not ceased to decline in recent years. This is very apparent when analyzing the demographic situation on the level of first order municipalities – city districts and municipal areas. Indexes of natural population growth during recent years have exceeded values from the first decade of the 21st century. However, in 80% of municipalities a negative dynamic is evident compared to 2010, primarily due to natural decline. Natural decline is often accompanied by a negative balance in the migratory flow of the population. As a result, depopulation in certain cases reaches catastrophic proportions – at over 2% each year. This article examines peculiarities in the differentiation of natural population increase and migratory flow of Russia’s population by city district, municipal area, and broken down by territory (as in by federal district). It was revealed that negative trends are more inherent to municipal areas than they are to city districts. The most complicated situation with indexes of death rate and birthrate can be observed in municipalities of the Central, North-West and Privolzhsky Federal Districts. Mostly due to an intense migratory outflow, the population is decreasing in many municipal formations of the Far Eastern Federal District. As was the case in previous decades, the most favorable demographic situation can be observed in the North Caucasian Federal District. Meanwhile its municipal formations are gradually approaching the rest of Russia in terms of population birthrate and death rate indexes. Though this trend is of ambiguous nature, since, on the one hand, it evens out the excessive interregional socio-economic differentiation we see in Russia, while on the other it has a negative effect on the country’s demographic development in general. The migratory outflow of the population from the majority of North Caucasian municipal formations narrows the foundation for this region’s demographic development in the future.


Author(s):  
Aleksandr Cherkasov ◽  
Vitaliy Belozerov ◽  
Natalia Shchitova ◽  
Nikolay Sopnev

The paper presents the results of the demographic processes analyses study in the South of European part of Russia in comparison with national outcomes. The research is based on a GIS monitoring concept and reveals the main characteristics of population size dynamic pattern with the influence of prevailing reproduction processes. The main sources of data are the office for national statistics and various regional statistics sources. ESRI ArcGIS Spatial Analyst software platform is used as a primary analytical framework. The study case covers the time frame from 1959 to 2018. Developing map models of the population’s natural reproduction brings out the depopulation speed and direction as a primary trend in Russia’s demographic development. At the beginning of the XXI century’s third decade, there is a significant reduction in the number of regions with positive natural population growth. The regions with decreasing in population have prevailed. The positive natural population growth preserves mainly in national territorial subdivisions with an unfinished demographic transition. The demographic picture in the south of European part of Russia looks relatively propitious. Negative demographic trends arise with a delay and have not reached the critical levels yet. The obvious polarization of demographic space in the south of Russia has educed — there are two areas with unequal trends of population growth: South-East area with a sustainable increase in the population and a migration outflow, the North-West area with a natural decline in the population and an erratic positive migration balance. Though the area with a sustainable increase in the population is reducing, showing positive trends in Krasnodar Krai and Republic of Adygea. The ethnic republic’s migration outflow is stable.


Author(s):  
Yuliya Zarubina ◽  
Valeriy Marischuk

The article is devoted to the study of the demographic situation in the Irkutsk region, the analysis of the dynamics of the birth- and death-rate, migration of the population, demographic trends which have developed in the period from the early 1990s and which are still taking place at present. Demographic processes in the Irkutsk region in the context of all-Russian trends were being studied. Approaches to regulation of regional demographic processes allowing overcoming the depopulation problem have been developed


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 49-59
Author(s):  
Alexander Kuklin ◽  
Natalya Krivenko ◽  
Liudmila Kriventsova

The article describes the role of high-quality human capital in the modern economy, socioeconomic, and demographic trends in the regions. The research has revealed a certain relationship and mutual influence of economic and social factors on demographic trends. The assessment of the efficiency of the functioning of social sectors at the all-Russian Federal level and in the Ural Federal District revealed a low level of resource provision, insufficient investment in education and healthcare, which affects the state of fixed assets, leads to a low capital-labour ratio, and lags in terms of labour productivity in these sectors compared to indicators on average for the country's economy. An insufficient level of efficiency of the social sphere affects the social and demographic indicators. On the example of Russia and the Ural Federal District, a stable mutual influence of the economic situation and social aspects of population reproduction is shown. For a quantitative assessment of the relationship between economic, social and demographic processes in the Ural Federal District, indicators were selected for 6 subjects of the Ural Federal District for 2000-2018, the calculation was made using the methods of correlation and regression analysis, the coefficient of natural population growth was chosen as the main indicator characterizing the demographic trends. The model of the impact of socioeconomic indicators on demographic trends in the subjects of the Ural Federal Districts were built. With the unconditional impact of the incidence rate on the change in natural population growth, significant values were obtained for the following factors: an increase in the expenditures of the budgets of territorial compulsory health insurance funds, an increase in the share of the working-age population, an improvement in the welfare of the population, which contributes to an increase in average life expectancy, a reduction in mortality, and acceleration of demographic processes in the regions


2020 ◽  
pp. 57-60
Author(s):  
T.V. Grigorova ◽  
◽  
N.V. Laykova ◽  

This article examines the problem of relationship between demography and economy and presents statistical data that characterize the demographic processes in Russia since 1997. The population is considered as the labor, the number and structure of which largely determines the economic development of the country. Authors explore the reasons for the low birth rate of the population and the outflow of people from sparsely populated areas and show the dynamics of international migration. It is shown that financial support is needed not only for families with children, but also for those young people who are planning the birth of their first child. It is specified that only state investments, correct and consistent policy can change the current demographic situation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 321-324
Author(s):  
M. Turopova

This article analyzes the demographic situation in the southern regions of Uzbekistan in the early XX century, the history of migration processes, the sources and factors of natural population growth. There is also a scientific analysis of the territorial location, national composition, lifestyle of the rural population.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (11) ◽  
pp. 122-125
Author(s):  
G. Aliyeva ◽  
A. Afandiyeva

The study assessed the impact of the environmental situation on development of demographic process, and analyzed the dependence of birthrate, death rate, rate of natural population growth and infant mortality on the ecological situation for Mountain Shirvan economic and geographical region of Azerbaijan by using economic-mathematical modeling methods.


2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dragana Vilić

For the functioning and development of society the great significancehave demographic processes and changes (natural population growth,fertility, birth rate, mortality rate, aging of population, changes in regardto marriage, the frequency of celibacy, divorce). This paper analyzesthe causes and consequences of these processes and changes incontemporary society. The trends of demographic changes are not thesame in all societies in the world. In developed societies today can beobserved, with minor differences, the same demographic trends - lowand/or negative natural population growth, the rapid aging of population,low mortality rates, increasing of the divorces and the like. Onthe other hand, in underdeveloped societies are born many children,where weak economic conditions are conducive to a deterioration inthe material, social and health status of the population (illness andmortality, particularly of women and children). This clearly indicatesthat demographic processes and changes are not directly influencedby economic and social factors (the level of education, the developmentof society in general, etc.), but that there are a number of indirectsocial factors causing it (national, class, political, cultural, religiousand other). In response to the unfavorable demographic trends(population size, the age of the population, etc.) and the consequenceswhich population factor creates in many economic and social areas(reduction of the working population, the burden of social securityfunds, etc.), in the past two decades in the most countries populationpolicy was placed in the area of population fertility - there were introducedthe pro-natalist measures in developed countries and measuresto discourage procreation in underdeveloped countries.


Geoadria ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Ivan Lajić ◽  
Roko Mišetić

The paper describes the basic demographic processes on the Kvarner islands in the last twenty years. The census data from this period show a constant population growth on the Kvarner islands and promote them into one of the most vital sub-regions of the Primorje-Gorski Kotar County. The results of the analysis show that the mechanical component of the total population change, i.e. immigration, which managed to overcome the negative natural demographic trend, was the cause of this positive demographic trend. As a result, natural population change on the Kvarner islands 1991-2011 belongs to the "regeneration by immigration" type. However, since increased immigration did not influence the reduction of the negative natural demographic trend, it is safe to presume that "fictive" residents dominate the immigration contingent. This hypothesis is supported by the comparison of the census change index 2011/2001 and the type of demographic resources index in 2001.


Author(s):  
Elena Pekhtereva ◽  

The review examines the results of the December 2020 official census of the population of China, the most populous country in the world. It is noted that the Chinese government is seriously concerned about the low rate of population growth. The authorities fear that a slowdown in population growth and its aging while the size of the labour force is decreasing may seriously slow down economic growth. The opinions and statements of analysts on the prospects of the demographic situation in China in the context of its socio-economic development are presented.


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