Theory of Long-Term Technical and Economic Development

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 11-15
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The purpose of this study was to summarize theoretical propositions about the main stages of a long-term technical and economic development. Stages of modern technical and economic development are the technological orders. The life cycle of technological order lasts for three Kondratieff cycles. At the same time in the economy, there are three technological orders. The difference between orders is in ratio and efficiency of the use of substances, energy and information, the level of labor productivity, capital intensity and energy intensity of production of goods. The beginning of the formation of the first order can be attributed to the 1720s years. Industrial economy is the first, second, third and fourth technological orders. These provide a way of gradual growth of labor productivity by increasing capital intensity and the energy intensity of the national production. The postindustrial economy is the fifth, sixth and subsequent order. These provide a way of gradual growth of labor productivity due to an increase in the volume of the used information. The capital intensity and energy in stages of national production reduces at the expense of human capital and new technologies.


Author(s):  
Anna Smahliuk ◽  
◽  
Tetiana Pokotylo ◽  

The article explores the factors that allow the economies of the countries of the world to achieve sustainable economic growth at different stages of the country's economic development, depending on the level of GDP per capita. Among which are highlighted: basic factors, efficiency factors and innovative factors. For the Ukrainian economy, which is at the stage of focusing on efficiency, the issues of the place, significance and level of economic complexity of the Ukrainian economy and ensuring sustainable economic growth on this basis are considered. Economic diversification and complexity are defined as key drivers of long-term growth. The dynamics of the index of economic complexity in Ukraine is analyzed, modern trends are revealed. Directions and strategic approaches to the diversification of national production are proposed, which could have a significant multiplier effect, increase the complexity and level of knowledge in the economy. It also provides evidence on the relationship between socio-economic development, values of self-expression and democratic institutions. The conclusion is formulated: socio- economic development leads to the spread of the values of self-expression, and they, in turn, to the establishment and strengthening of democratic institutions.



Author(s):  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Tatyana Averina

The article is devoted to the search for a criterion for grouping the regions of the Russian Federation, which allows to obtain adequate estimates of the correlation relationship between labor productivity and production, investment, information and innovation factors of economic development. Estimates based on the aggregate of data for all regions do not reflect a reliable relationship between the main and factor indicators. Conducting analytical procedures separately for regions with a share of the extractive industry in GRP of less than and more than 10% improved the correlation indicators. The conclusions are related to the development of programs for the long-term development of regions.



2012 ◽  
Vol 72 (4) ◽  
pp. 956-989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bozhong Li ◽  
Jan Luiten van Zanden

This article tests recent ideas about the long-term economic development of China compared with Europe on the basis of a detailed comparison of structure and level of GDP in part of the Yangzi delta and the Netherlands in the 1820s. We find that Dutch GDP per capita was almost twice as high as in the Yangzi delta. Agricultural productivity there was at about the same level as in the Netherlands (and England), but large productivity gaps existed in industry and services. We attempt to explain this concluding that differences in factor costs are probably behind disparities in labor productivity.



Author(s):  
Vladimir Yuryevich Ivanov

The ability of regions to the competition in the international market to use of modern approaches to social and economic development, defines a vector of intensive advance of the Russian economy. Existence of worthy infrastructure and its full functioning become a guarantee of successful development of economy and social sphere of the country and particular regions. Therefore, for its updating and full functioning implementation of infrastructure projects is necessary. The specificity of implementation of infrastructure projects has been designated: excessive capital intensity, long payback periods, increased complexity and large scales (including territorial scales). Conditions of limited budgetary financing of infrastructure predetermine the need of attracting private investments. So, the mechanism of public-private partnership in the concept of long-term social and economic development of the Russian Federation up to 2020 is designated as one of priority tools, which emphasizes the importance of a problem. The potential of expansion of opportunities for implementation of infrastructure projects at the expense of mechanisms of public-private partnership has been studied. Special attention is paid to the practice of implementing infrastructure projects in the territory of the Astrakhan region. There have been presented practices of such projects, mainly in the form of concessions, strategic priorities of development of public-private partnership on the territory of the Astrakhan region for implementation of infrastructure projects. The Astrakhan shipbuilding production association is taken as an example of successful realization of public-private partnership mechanism. The leading shipbuilding and ship repairing plants of the region make its basis. There has been given the rating of the Russian regions in terms of the development of public-private partnership during 2017. Since 2015 there has been stated positive dynamics of development parameters of public-private partnership in the region. As of 2017, in the region there are realized eighteen projects, among which one project is of a regional level, and seventeen projects are the municipal events.



2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 18-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The results of the research of dissemination of technical and economic paradigms in developed economies are given. A system model of long-term technical and economic development is developed. The model assumes the simultaneous existence in the economy of several subsystems of different technical and economic paradigms. Each techno-economic paradigm is a new stage of development and different from the previous paradigm of higher productivity. Each subsequent industrial techno-economic paradigm provides higher productivity due to higher capital intensity and energy intensity of production. In the post-industrial techno-economic paradigms the higher performance is provided at a lower capital intensity and energy intensity of production due to a higher volume of information used. Beginning, transition to domination, the beginning of the withering away of each paradigm is accompanied by the formation of an upward half-wave of Kondratieff cycle. Econometric models of Kondratieff cycles and econometric models of real GDP per capita is obtained, provided technical and economic paradigms in developed countries. The fourth techno-economic paradigm provides the real per capita GDP value from 1929 to 3258 dollars Gehry-Hemis 1990. The fifth techno-economic paradigm provides a real GDP per capita value of 11,606 to 12,883 dollars Gehry-Hemis 1990. The sixth techno-economic paradigm provides a real GDP per capita value of 22 360 to 28 385 dollars Gehry-Hemis 1990.



2018 ◽  
pp. 117-142
Author(s):  
Jesse Goldstein

Planetary improvement is less about improving the planet in some objective, ‘natural’ sense as it is about improving and sustaining a very distinct mode of inhabiting this planet, of making natures and organizing lives (human and nonhuman alike). Cleantech entrepreneurs envision themselves greening the economy bit by bit, and refuse to see how the economy is actually transforming their visions and ideas, molding any new technologies or the possibility thereof into a commodity form that primarily serves the needs of capital. Through the maintenance of four conceptual and practical separations, cleantech proponents are able to gesture vaguely towards world-making ambitions, while at the same time insulating these visions from their day-to-day business activities and short-term financial projections: (1) a separation between personal and professional commitments; (2) the difference between thinking (about climate change) and doing (something profitable); (3) the difference between abstract and concrete concerns; and (4) the distinction between short-term (fundable) solutions and long-term visions. What emerges is a way of seeing the future as a forever receding horizon of possibility, whose radical transformation is preserved in people’s minds while the perpetuation of an unsustainable status quo is preserved in reality.



2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 169-179
Author(s):  
Anna V. Korenevskaya

The article deals with the external and internal barriers and the results of the impact of such restrictions on the development of the innovation process in the oil and gas complex of Russia, as well as an objective assessment of the current situation in the field of innovations in the oil and gas industry. The aim of the study is to analyze the current barriers and opportunities to overcome them on the way to unlocking the potential of Russian import substitution programs, as well as the introduction of new technologies in the oil and gas industries. The study is based on the hypothesis that process innovations in the oil and gas sector have an obvious impact not only on the final results of specific companies in the industry, but also on the overall state of the national economy. Today we can observe the process of transition of the Russian economy to an innovative way of development. Such a transformation is of great importance for the further development of the country, and the strategic directions of transition to an innovative type of economic development were identified in the Concept of long-term socio-economic development in 2020. One of the long-term goals was to increase the share of innovation in the economic growth of the Russian Federation. The process of innovation in enterprises is usually long-term and involves some barriers that require systematization and substantive consideration. Thus, the article assesses the potential economic damage from the existing barriers to the innovative development of the oil and gas sector. The analysis of the sanctions pressure of Western countries on the Russian oil and gas complex companies and the effect of sanctions restrictions in the long term. The scientific base of the work is based on the data of state statistics, analytical data of fuel and energy complex companies, foreign sources, as well as on the assessments of independent experts.



Author(s):  
LENCHUK ELENA B. ◽  

The article discusses the importance of improving the goal-setting process for solving strategic problems of national development, first of all, for the transition to a new model of economic growth based on structural transformations, innovations and new technologies, determines the place of the long-term state strategy of the social and economic development as a base component in this process. The restrictive nature of the targets for sustainable national development identified in the framework of national projects is substantiated. Particular attention is focused on the need for their integration national projects into the strategic planning system and ensure their interconnection with existing strategies and government programs.



2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 19-23
Author(s):  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The purpose of the work was to identify the most important unresolved industry problems of the education development strategy. Based on the approaches and provisions of economic theory, theory and history of modern economic development, systems theory, it was possible to identify some of the most important problems of education development strategy. One of the most important unresolved problems related to the fact that the strategy should aimed at increasing labor productivity with new technologies that make it possible to replace the labor of those employed in the education sector with technical means. At the same time, it should take into account that the field of education has significant limitations associated with the most important role of creative processes that cannot reproduced by technical means, for example, artificial intelligence systems. Another problem of the education development strategy is associated with the modernization of the content of education, which is necessary in the transition to a post-industrial economy. In order to form the institutions and intellectual climate necessary for economic development and growth, the economically active population must have knowledge in the fields of both natural and social-humanoid sciences. Quality assurance is another critical issue in the education development strategy. Developers of strategies do not have a good enough idea of the essence of the category "quality", do not know the methods and tools for measuring and assessing quality, which determines the ability of a good to satisfy the needs of the consumer. As a result, quality assurance carried out in the form of an archaic command and control system based on the application of orders, standards and control, which, inherited from the industrial economy is ineffective and not competitive in modern conditions.



Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The estimates of the duration of Kondratyev cycles in countries with different levels of technical and economic development are obtained. The regularity of the reduction in the duration of Kondratieff cycles are revealed, which increases more, when the corresponding Kondratyev cycle begins to form in them later. For each year of the displacement of the third cycle, the duration of the third cycle reduces by an average of 0.6 years. For each year of the displacement of the 4th cycle, the duration of the third cycle reduces by an average of 0.8 years. In countries — the leaders of the world economy in terms of labor productivity, the reduction in the duration of Kondratyev cycles does not take place. The regularity of reducing the length of Kondratyev cycles justifies the existence of the possibility of accelerated economic development.



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