scholarly journals DEVELOPMENT OF MODELS FOR PREDICTING THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY IN THE CONTEXT OF BUSINESS FINANCIAL SECURITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 126-130
Author(s):  
Tat'yana Myagkova ◽  
Victoria Annenkova

Forecasting is one of the most important stages in planning future policies to ensure economic security. And countering the financial insolvency of an enterprise should begin with predicting the risk of this phenomenon. The risk of bankruptcy is predicted using domestic and foreign models for predicting potential threats to the organization's financial security. However, many of these models are outdated or not focused on the conditions of our country's economy, which affects the reliability of the results obtained and the effectiveness of decisions based on them. In this regard, there is an increased need to develop new models for identifying signs of bankruptcy and the pre-crisis state of the organization, which could form a more reliable opinion about the financial condition of the object for rapid measures to bring the business out of a crisis or unfavorable state.

2020 ◽  
pp. 25-28
Author(s):  
Olena SHEPTUKHA ◽  
Anna LAPTIEVA

Introduction. At the present stage of economic development in the organization of credit relations uses a significant number of approaches and methods to determine the creditworthiness of the borrower. Today, banking institutions are developing different approaches to the analysis of the borrower's creditworthiness. Moreover, each bank determines its own method of assessing the financial condition of a potential borrower, taking into account the specific terms of the contract. Assessment of creditworthiness of the enterprise by the method of discriminant analysis is carried out by calculating and interpreting the integrated indicator of financial condition. The purpose of the paper is to determine the nature and assessment of the borrower's creditworthiness using the methods of discriminant analysis. Results. Assessing the borrower's creditworthiness is a topical issue that affects the success and effectiveness of its lending activities. That is why the article is devoted to defining the nature and assessment of the borrower's creditworthiness using the methods of discriminant analysis. It assessed the creditworthiness of PJSC "Kharkiv Biscuit Factory" using foreign and domestic methods of assessing the creditworthiness of the borrower. It was determined that the main disadvantage of foreign models is that they are developed based on a study of enterprises in the United States and Western Europe. Weights are not adapted to modern conditions of transformation of the domestic economy and do not take into account the specifics of Ukrainian enterprises. These models have several significant limitations. They can be used only as additional models in parallel with modern domestic models. Calculating the probability of bankruptcy of PJSC "Kharkiv Biscuit Factory" according to foreign and domestic methods can give a clear conclusion about the financial condition of the enterprise. The above-mentioned methods demonstrate the absence of probability of bankruptcy at PJSC "Kharkiv Biscuit Factory". Conclusion. In general, the degree of reliability of the assessment of economic security of the enterprise and a set of necessary measures to prevent possible threats depend on the accurate identification of threats, the correct choice of a system of indicators for diagnosis. According to the results of calculations, it was determined that the company belongs to class A, which is characterized by high financial condition.


Author(s):  
N. Pihul ◽  
A. Khomutenko

The paper describes concept of "enterprise’ financial security" in modern conditions and compares the main approaches to its definition taking into account the complex nature of this economic category (from the point of view of the object of paramount attention, the task of the security system and the criterions of security). The authors identified two approaches to understanding the financial security of the enterprise: the first approach, which considers financial security in terms of the enterprise’ ability to withstand the threats of the internal and external environment; the second approach determines the enterprise’ financial security as the ability of the enterprise to perform its activities effectively in an uncertain and competitive environment. In addition, the study identified the essence of enterprise’ financial security management, its purpose, objectives, functions, principles, mechanism and basic elements of management. In the course of the research it was found that the most important in the enterprise’ financial security management is to built adequate mechanism of financial security management. The authors define such mechanism, as a set of basic influence’ elements on the process of development and implementation of management decisions to ensure the protection of his financial interests against various threats. Moreover, the authors investigated the systems of enterprise’ financial security analysis, which allow to investigate the financial condition and main results of financial activity of the enterprise in order to determine the level of protection of his financial interests from threats and identify the reserves for its improvement. The system of integral analysis was defined as the system that gives the most solid conclusions about the state of financial security. The main reason for this is that above mentioned system allows to conduct a deeper financial analysis, to evaluate the main areas of financial activity of the enterprise and to aggregate the obtained data into one indicator. Keywords: enterprise's economic security, enterprise's financial security, mechanism of the enterprise`s financial security, management of the enterprise`s financial security.


Author(s):  
Юлия Сергеевна Холопова ◽  
Алексей Георгиевич Ильмушкин

Финансовая безопасность предприятия - основной элемент экономической безопасности. Именно от нее зависит стабильность работы организации, ее финансовые интересы, возможность развития и роста в условиях жесткой конкуренции. В статье определено интегральное значение финансовой безопасности конкретного предприятия, сформулированы приоритетные направления укрепления его финансового состояния. Financial security of an enterprise is the main element of economic security. It determines the stability of the organization, its financial interests, and the possibility of development and growth in a highly competitive environment. The article defines the integral value of the financial security of a particular enterprise, and sets out priority directions for strengthening its financial condition.


2020 ◽  
pp. 31-35
Author(s):  
Oksana MAKOVETS ◽  
Iryna DROZD

Introduction. As a component of the business environment the information environment is characterized by significant cyber threats and requires cyber protection. The processes of Ukrainian society digitalization and changes in providing the information security update the enterprise's financial security measures and their connection with cybersecurity. The purpose of the paper is to analyze the essence of cybersecurity as a factor of the enterprise's financial security and to identify its impact on the investment attractiveness of the business entity. To achieve the purpose the task is to explore the concepts of financial security, cybersecurity and cyber threats, to identify their relationship and impact on business' financial losses of the, the consequences for the enterprise's investment attractiveness. The study will provide information on business management and plan effective policies to combat cyber threats. Results. The essence of enterprise's financial security is investigated. There are three approaches in identifying the essence of this concept, including as part of the enterprise's economic security, as the state of the most effective use of information, financial indicators and as its financial condition level, which provides stable protection of priority balanced financial interests from real and potential external and internal threats. These definitions are used to substantiate the connection with the concepts of cyber threat and cyber security. The areas of possible losses based on the losses assessment due to cyber threats are identified by the authors, namely the intellectual property loss, the business information loss, the IT systems' continuity disruption, the reputation damage as a result of the attack, the automated personal data loss. Conclusion. It is concluded that the necessary measures of cybersecurity, protection of enterprises' information resources and prevention of unauthorized interference in the enterprises' activities, which has a positive effect on investment attractiveness and increases the enterprises' competitiveness.


Author(s):  
Oleksandra Maslii ◽  
Andrii Maksymenko ◽  
Svitlana Onyshchenko

Place of monitoring and control of risks of financial stability of the state in the system of ensuring financial security of the state was substantiated. Methods of identifying threats to Ukraine's financial security through the current and strategic analysis of financial system development indicators were considered. Tendencies of economic development of Ukraine in the context of revealing sources of threats to financial stability of the state were analyzed. Dynamic analysis of the actual values of the financial security indicators of Ukraine as a whole and its separate components had been carried out. Threats to Ukraine's financial security were identified based on comparative and trend analysis. Reasons for the critical state of debt, banking and monetary security in the financial structure and the preconditions for the emergence of systemic threats had been investigated. Systematization of risks and threats to Ukraine's financial security by its components had been carried out. Influence of systemic threats in the financial sphere on the economic security of the state was generalized. International experience of monitoring financial stability of the state was analyzed. Additional risks to the national financial system are associated with the globalization and digitization of the state financial system that are not taken into account by valid methodological recommendations for calculating the level of economic security of Ukraine were highlighted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-67
Author(s):  
Larysa Cherchyk ◽  
Alexander Shubalyi ◽  
Nina Khumarova ◽  
Artur Cherchyk

Introduction. Under such conditions, the problem of assessing the economic security of enterprises is actualized, which is designed to identify threats that arise in the competitive environment and the internal environment of the enterprise, to identify strengths and weaknesses in the activities of the enterprise, on the basis of which management decisions are made at the strategic level, to prevent negative situations at the operational levels of enterprise management. Aim and tasks. The purpose of the study is to assessing the economic security of forest enterprises in the Ukrainian Polissya region. Objectives of the study: generalization of scientific approaches to assessing the economic security of enterprises; determination of criteria for assessing the economic security of forestry; development and testing of methods for assessing the economic security of forestry in the Ukrainian Polissya region. Results. The calculations show a high and sufficient level of economic security in the studied forestry enterprises. However, there is a decrease in financial security indicators, which requires the adoption of current and strategic management decisions to improve financial results and improve the financial condition of forestry enterprises. The main problem is the inefficient structure of exports, namely the predominance of products with low benefit and insufficient investment in the development of technical and technological base. The proposed system of criteria and indicators can be significantly expanded depending on the ability of researchers to obtain additional information about the economic activities of forestry enterprises. Conclusions. A proposed method of assessing the level of economic security of forestry enterprises, which provides for determining the compliance of the current state of the business entity development goals (desired state), provides for the use of traditional indicators covering the main areas of economic activity of forestry enterprises. It is only important that the sample of forest enterprises is formed on the basis of belonging to the common forest area, similarity of forest area and forest area of these enterprises, as well as other factors that researchers may consider essential for the choice.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 334-340 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Sosnovska ◽  
Maksym Zhytar

In today’s economic realities, achieving the necessary level of financial security of enterprises is a prerequisite for ensuring their sustainable operation and the formation of competitive development parameters in the internal and external market environment. The effectiveness of this process depends on building a high-quality financial architecture as the basic structural element of the company’s financial security system. In this regard, the subject of the study is an analysis of existing theoretical approaches to the definition of financial architecture and its relationship with the financial security of the enterprise. The methodological basis of the research is the scientific development of domestic and foreign scientists, the fundamental theoretical positions of economic science in the field of financial architecture formation, financial risk management, and financial security of the enterprise. The purpose of the article is to study the essence of financial architecture in order to substantiate its determining influence on the financial security of the enterprise and ensure its sustainable functioning in an unstable development of economic processes. The article analyses the theoretical aspects of financial architecture and finds that the interpretation of this economic category is due to the existence of clear causal relationships between its constituent elements and their impact on the financial support. Proceeding from this, the definition of financial architecture is drawn as a set of interconnected structural elements such as capital structure, ownership structure and quality of corporate governance, which accumulate and mobilize financial resources, increase control over the activity of the enterprise, solve conflicts of interest between owners and other stakeholders. It is determined that the choice of principles and methods for constructing financial architecture depends on such financial interests of economic entities as forming a flexible financial potential, optimizing the structure of capital, increasing investment attractiveness, maximizing profits, and increasing the market value of the enterprise. It is proved that the result of building a flexible financial architecture is to provide the appropriate level of financial security of an enterprise by identifying, quantifying, neutralizing, minimizing, and monitoring its financial risks. It is proposed to systematize indicators of financial security level assessment on the most typical of its functional components, among which investment, credit, emission, innovation, and currency can be distinguished. It has been established that ensuring the appropriate level of financial security will contribute to achieving financial sustainability, forming qualitative financial potential, providing competitive advantages, harmonizing interests of economic entities, and creating an effective system of economic security of the enterprise. It is concluded that the construction of high-quality financial architecture is the basis of financial security of an enterprise, the level of which depends on the proper management of financial risks and ensuring an adequate level of safety of all its functional components. As a criterion for the effectiveness of the process of ensuring the financial security of the company, sustainable development of the enterprise was determined in the conditions of an unstable economic environment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-25
Author(s):  
Oksana Ivanova

One of the components of the positions of strengthening the competitiveness and financial independence of Russian industrial organizations is the definition of interrelated compositions in the context of the national and economic security of the country. Verification of the information flow of a data set is to a large extent a tool base for determining key facts in the event of challenges and threats. Therefore, the main goal of the work is to build an information base and mathematically determine the relationship between individual indicators to establish the level of financial security of Russian industrial production. Dialectical research methods determine the fundamental foundations of the issue being disclosed. The proposed methodology for the integral assessment of financial security reflects individual positions in the system of assessing financial risk and combines both positive and negative features of the development of industrial production. As a result of the multi-criteria assessment and the calculated integral indicator, the article singles out groups for assessing the financial risk of industrial organizations, which is the basis for assessing the competitiveness and financial stability both at the current time and in the forecast future.


2019 ◽  
Vol 135 ◽  
pp. 04008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guzaliya Klychova ◽  
Alsou Zakirova ◽  
Angelina Dyatlova ◽  
Aigul Klychova ◽  
Evgenia Zaugarova ◽  
...  

Economic security of the enterprise is designed to ensure stable and continuous functioning of the economic entity. The study of the state of economic security is one of the key factors for enterprises, as the level of its security depends on the financial condition. The purpose of personnel management in the system of economic security of the enterprise is to find ways to minimize risks and threats to employees. Ensuring economic security is one of the most important problems faced by enterprises. The overall system of integrated enterprise management is closely related to security and personnel management. The article examines the main threats and factors affecting economic security, as well as measures to improve the system of protection of the organization, the factors affecting the external and internal environment, measures for the organization of economic security in the enterprise, developed a methodology for assessing the personnel management system to make effective management decisions.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazirhan Gadzhiev ◽  
Magomed Gazimagomedov ◽  
Andrey Doronin ◽  
Natal'ya Ivlicheva ◽  
Sergey Konovalenko ◽  
...  

The textbook contains situational tasks and practical tasks and can be used in organizing practical training on the main topics of the discipline. In particular, the tasks presented in the workshop reveal the specifics of the discipline on such problematic issues as financial security of the state, ensuring economic security in the framework of monetary policy, assessing tax policy trends from the standpoint of economic security criteria, social policy in the strategy of economic security, economic security of regions and business entities. Meets the Federal state educational standard of higher education in the specialty 38.05.01 " Economic security (specialty level)". It is intended for cadets and students studying in higher educational institutions, including educational organizations of the Ministry of internal Affairs of the Russian Federation.


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