The main trends of long-term changes in the annual flow of rivers in the Republic of Bashkortostan

Author(s):  
E. M. Galeeva ◽  
V. V. Barinov
2021 ◽  
pp. 44-50
Author(s):  
Pavel Alexandrovich Mochalkin ◽  
◽  
Alexander Pavlovich Mochalkin ◽  
Evgeny Georgievich Stepanov ◽  
Lira Amirovna Farvazova ◽  
...  

It was established that 17008 HFRS cases were reported in 53 (out of 54) administrative districts and 12 cities (out of 14) of the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2009-2018. The most intense epidemiological situation (a long-term incidence rate of 48,5 per 100 thousand of the population) was observed within the boundaries of the forest-steppe landscape zone, where. more than 86 % of all cases of infection are recorded of the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2009-2018. The share of infections among the urban population was 64.0 %, the rural one – 36.0 %. In the long-term aspect, according to the conditions of HFRS acquisition, short-term visits to the forest area prevailed – up to 80 %, in household settings – up to 14 % of all cases of the disease. Seasonal increases in the incidence of HFRS take place in May-June – up to 15 % and in September-December – over 46 % of the annual incidence. The presence of synchronicity in the dynamics of HFRS morbidity in rural and urban populations within the boundaries of the administrative district was detected. It has been substantiated that in order to reduce the level of HFRS morbidity among the rural and urban population, it is necessary to provide for an increase in the volume and frequency of preventive (anti-epidemic) measures in the vicinity of rural settlements, regional centers, urban-type settlements and large cities located near forests, within the boundaries of the entire area of the administrative district.


Author(s):  
V.Ya. Akhmetov ◽  
R.N. Galikeev

According to the results of 2020, in the rating of the subjects of the Russian Federation for the production of gross agricultural output, the Republic of Bashkortostan came in 6th place and 2nd in the Volga Federal District. The long-term leadership of the republic in terms of the development of the agro-industrial complex is largely explained by the presence of large areas of agricultural land (more than 7.2 million hectares), sufficient labor resources and relatively favorable soil and climatic conditions for the development of many branches of agriculture. However, in the XXI century, without the introduction of agro-innovations and the development of high-tech agriculture, processing industry, an effective system for the sale of manufactured products, it is becoming increasingly problematic to ensure the long-term competitiveness of the agro-industrial complex of the region both at the All-Russian and global levels. Current trends in the development of agribusiness in the world and in our country clearly show the priority of using the latest achievements of scientific and technological progress and significant investments in new agricultural technologies at the regional level in order to ensure high quality products and compete with domestic and foreign companies. Within the framework of this study, the need to improve the interaction of agribusiness with the scientific and educational sphere and the formation of the regional innovation infrastructure of the agro-industrial complex in the Republic of Bashkortostan with the coordinating role of the Ufa Federal Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences and the Government of the Republic of Bashkortostan is actualized. The authors conducted a comprehensive analysis of the key problems in the creation of a regional agro-industrial scientific and production cluster in the Republic of Bashkortostan and outlined priorities in its development.


Author(s):  
A.M. Gareev ◽  
E.M. Galeeva ◽  
V.V. Barinov

The article reveals the main characteristics of the change in the values of the river runoff layer indicator in the long-term section across the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan. In previously published works related to 1990-2000, the statistical parameters of river runoff are considered without taking into account the changes that have occurred in the general population of the initial information. It is noted in the article that the calculations and estimates for the study of the peculiarities of changes in hydrometeorological conditions, carried out by us in recent years, indicate a violation of the homogeneity of the observation series. At the same time, attention is drawn to the fact that this trend is dependent on the influence of factors associated with global climate change. The article indicates that ignoring the facts reflecting the ongoing changes can affect not only the accuracy of the calculations, but also lead to the adoption of incorrect and unjustified decisions in the water sector and the assessment of environmental conditions in watercourses. The analysis was carried out according to the values of the annual runoff layer, the change in the indicators of the annual runoff of the rivers of the republic was calculated for two time intervals. As the boundary conditions between them, the year was taken, from which a rather clear tendency of the trend change in terms of the annual runoff values is revealed. Cartographic analysis of the information obtained was carried out using the ArcGIS software package. It has been established that during the period of noticeable climatic changes in most of the territory of the republic, there is a tendency to an increase in the values of the annual runoff layer. At the same time, the greatest indicators of change occur on the western slopes of the Southern Urals and the Ufa plateau within the republic. It was found that a noticeable decrease in the values of the annual runoff layer is observed over the territory of the Bashkir Trans-Urals.


2019 ◽  
Vol 190 (11) ◽  
pp. 92-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Евгений Стовба ◽  
Evgeniy Stovba ◽  
Миляуша Лукьянова ◽  
Milyausha Luk'yanova ◽  
Виталий Ковшов ◽  
...  

Abstract. The article actualizes the need of foresight technologies in the sustainable development of strategic plans of sustainable development in rural municipalities at the level of the Russian Federation. It is pointed out that the modern methodology of foresight studies is quite flexible and multifaceted, has wide application at different hierarchical levels of management. The purpose of the study is to prove the need to use the foresight methodologies for rural development strategic planning and forecasting tool. In the course of the study, the following methods were used: strategic planning and forecasting, foresight technologies (expert survey and expert opinions), comparative analysis. The scientific novelty of the study is determined by the formation of a set of practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools at the municipal level of management in rural areas. The systematic approach usage in combination with foresight technologies allows to develop strategic plans for the development in rural areas from the perspective of long-term improvement of their economic and social component. A brief analysis of the current state and development of foresight research in the Russian Federation is presented. It is concluded that in modern conditions of rural development it is necessary to develop strategic programs and anti-crisis measures that should focus on the application of the foresight technologies. It shows that the characteristic features of the rural municipal foresight are, on the one hand, the obligatory interconnection of strategic priorities for rural areas development in the long term and, on the other hand, the need to achieve the interest of key factors in regional development. Results of a research: the algorithm of strategic planning of sustainable development of rural areas of the region based on foresight technologies and the mechanism for its implementation at the municipal level are considered; strategic goals and priority areas for sustainable development of rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the sub-regional context were defined. On the basis of the foresight analysis, a three-level branding of agri-food products manufactured in the region was carried out, and brands within the considered rural municipalities were identified. It is concluded that foresight technologies should be used as the system tool for the formation and implementation of sustainable development strategy in rural areas of the Republic of Bashkortostan.


2021 ◽  
pp. 42-47
Author(s):  
М.М. Низамутдинов ◽  
В.В. Орешников ◽  
А.Р. Атнабаева

Статья посвящена вопросам прогнозирования развития субъектов Российской Федерации. Рассмотрен прогноз динамики валового регионального продукта Республики Башкортостан на средне- и долгосрочную перспективы, а также ряд взаимосвязанных параметров. Проведен анализ показателей в текущих и сопоставимых ценах, их динамики и соотношения. Выявлен ряд противоречий, указывающих на наличие рассогласованности представленных значений. Раскрыты отдельные противоречия другим документам стратегического планирования. Результаты могут быть использованы для повышения эффективности управления региональным развитием. The article is devoted to the issues of forecasting the development of the subjects of the Russian Federation. The forecast of the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Republic of Bashkortostan for the medium - and long-term prospects, as well as a number of interrelated parameters, is considered. The analysis of indicators in current and comparable prices, their dynamics and correlation is carried out. A number of contradictions are revealed, indicating the presence of inconsistency of the presented values. Some contradictions with other strategic planning documents are revealed. The results can be used to improve the efficiency of regional development management.


Author(s):  
N. V. Polyakova

The article presents the results of a long-term (2005-2017) introduction study of Syringa emodi Wall. ex Royle, cultivated in the South Ural Botanical Garden Institute of the UFIC RAS. As a result of phenological observations, it was revealed that S. emodi belongs to the flowering ones in terms of medium flowering - the beginning of flowering is observed on average on the end of May. The duration of flowering is 18-22 days. Pollen viability is lower than that of other types of lilacs in the collection and is 13%. Fruiting annually, the level is slightly lower compared to other species. Seed germination is 82-86%. Winter hardiness is relatively high, only in very severe winters is freezing of annual shoots observed. The total score in the evaluation of decorative characters of S. emodi was 76 points out of 100 possible. For a number of signs, introduction stability was determined by 87 points. The conclusion is made about the successful introduction of S. emodi in the Republic of Bashkortostan and the possibility of widespread use of this species in landscaping settlements in the region.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-106
Author(s):  
Igor' Sleptsov

Based on the analysis of the system of penalties provided for by the Penal legislation of the Republic of Kazakhstan, which can be applied to convicts serving imprisonment for violation of the order and conditions of serving a sentence, organizational and legal aspects of their application and taking into account existing theoretical developments, the author of the article attempts to classify them. The author concludes that all penalties provided for by the Penal legislation of the Republic of Kazakhstan, which can currently be applied to convicts serving imprisonment, are of a one-time nature and are not associated with long-term changes in the conditions of convicts’ detention. Their classification was based on the following criteria: categories of convicts to whom such measures can be applied, i.e. the degree of universality of their application (universal, limited-universal, specific and special penalties); belonging to a particular branch of law (general, which in addition to penal legislation are provided for in other branches of law, and special penalties applied only to persons deprived of their liberty); the level of misconduct of a convicted person serving a sentence of imprisonment (penalties applied for a single disciplinary offense; penalties that are a reaction to the continued negative behavior of the convicted person; penalties applied to convicted persons who have committed malicious violations of the established procedure for serving a sentence).


Author(s):  
Elvira Timeryanovna Valeeva ◽  
Elmira Radikovna Shaikhlislamova ◽  
Akhat Barievich Bakirov

More than 1650000 employees work in the Republic of Bashkortostan, and in recent years there has been a sharp increase in complaints from employees and employers to the judicial authorities on issues related to occupational pathology and aptitude. The analysis of 179 court cases related to occupational pathology in the Republic of Bashkortostan, in which the Institute’s specialists participated as experts, was carried out. The majority of court cases are related to the refusal of an employee to establish an occupational disease; compensation for damage caused to health as a result of an occupational disease and compensation for non-pecuniary damage, the employer’s refusal to recognize the case of occupational disease, the establishment of occupational disease in the long-term post-contact period, etc. Conducting an expert examination requires a thorough analysis of the situation, studying all available documentation, since an error in making a conclusion can lead to incorrect, disproportionate assignment of damage and moral damage.


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