Assessment of safety and risk of flooding of urban industrial territories: expert-analytical method

2021 ◽  
pp. 16-23
Author(s):  
Н.П. Куранов ◽  
Е.А. Тимофеева
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Method ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
State Standards ◽  
Natural Processes ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Local Levels

Изложены основные положения экспертно-аналитического метода оценки риска опасных процессов, который лег в основу разработки ряда методических рекомендаций и государственных стандартов. На базе этого метода предложена методика оценки безопасности и риска одного из опасных природно-техногенных процессов – подтопление градопромышленных территорий. Указаны основные факторы вредного воздействия этого процесса на объекты, находящиеся на таких территориях. Показано, как риски и ущербы от подтопления градопромышленных территорий могут оцениваться на основе общего методологического подхода к оценке рисков от опасных техноприродных процессов. В результате получены критерии безопасности и риска от подтопления и разработан механизм оценки риска от подтопления. Выявлены особенности выполнения оценок риска от подтопления градопромышленных территорий на федеральном, региональном и локальном уровнях. The main provisions of the expert-analytical method for assessing the risk of hazardous processes are stated; the method formed the basis for the development of a number of methodological recommendations and state standards. On the basis of this method, a technique is proposed for assessing the safety and risk of one of the dangerous natural-technogenic processes – flooding of urban industrial territories. The main factors of the harmful impact of this process on the structures located in such territories are indicated. It is shown how risks and damages from flooding of urban industrial territories can be estimated on the basis of the general methodological approach to assessing risks from hazardous techno-natural processes. As a result, criteria for safety and risk of flooding were obtained and a mechanism for assessing the risk of flooding was developed. The features of the assessment of the risk from flooding of urban industrial territories at the federal, regional and local levels are revealed.

scholarly journals GRAPHIC-ANALYTICAL METHOD FOR DETERMINING THE PROBABILITY OF LOSS OF ELEMENTS OF THE ENGINE AND THE COMBAT COMPARTMENT OF LIGHTLY ARMORED VEHICLES OF THE GENERAL UNITS

2021 ◽  
pp. 63-71
Author(s):  
R. Litvinchuk ◽  
A. Levchenko
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Method ◽  
Military Equipment ◽  
Recovery System ◽  
Rapid Flow ◽  
Single Fragment ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Armored Vehicles ◽  
Military Units ◽  
Combat Readiness

The article considers a number of main factors that determine the probability of damage to the elements of the engine and combat compartment of lightly armored vehicles under the influence of fragmentation munitions. Also, the technique of calculation of probability of defeat of an element by one fragment is given. As a result, the idea of a graph- analytical method for determining the probability of hitting an element by one fragment is presented, which is that the set of possible flight of the fragment to the element is divided into subsets by the number of walls of the engine and combat compartment of lightly armored vehicles. Then the required value of the probability of damage to the element by one fragment is determined.One of the main striking factors is the rapid flow of fragments that hit lightly armored vehicles, thus reducing the combat readiness of the unit. At present, the question of calculating the probability of damage to the elements of lightly armored vehicles of general military units is insufficiently studied.During the calculations of the graph-analytical method for determining the probability of damage to the elements of the engine and combat compartment of lightly armored vehicles, attention was focused on determining the required value of the probability of damage to the element by one fragment, which has not been proposed so far.The idea of a graph-analytical method for determining the probability of damage to an element by a single fragment is as follows. The whole set of directions of possible flight of the fragment to the element is divided into subsets by the number of walls of the engine and combat compartment of lightly armored vehicles. Within each subset, all directions are divided into parts, within each of which the value hijs is constant.The values of Sijs and hijs are determined for each part. The value of Sijs determines the probability of impact of the fragment from these directions, and the value of hijs - the probability of breaking the protective barrier.Then the required value of the probability of damage to the element by one fragment is determined. Thus, the use of a graphical-analytical method to determine the probability of damage to the elements of lightly armored vehicles of all-military units will increase the possibility of evacuation and restoration of weapons and military equipment after destruction by shrapnel munitions.And reducing the time for evacuation, speeding up the process of restoring damaged equipment in combat and increasing the intensity of the recovery system from recovery to use will increase the likelihood of using recovered equipment and, consequently, increase combat readiness.

scholarly journals Analysis Of Reed Resource Dynamics In Water Bodies Of Eastern Latvia

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 252
Author(s):  
E. Čubars ◽  
G. Noviks
Keyword(s):  
Shallow Lakes ◽  
Water Body ◽  
Human Activities ◽  
Hydrological Regime ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Water Bodies ◽  
Natural Processes ◽  
Resource Dynamics ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Made In

The paper shows the results obtained during the research of reed dynamics revealing that in Eastern Latvia 20 lakes and pisciculture farms are potentially important for the reed extraction. In 2008, the reed resources there covered a territory of approximately 2300 ha. The ortophoto images of potentially important water bodies made in 1997, 2005 and 2008 were analyzed using the computer program ArcMap. The reed growth develops differently in every water body, but in general the eutrophication of water bodies and the enlargement of reed-covered areas can be observed. The most rapidly the reed occupies new territories in pisciculture farms and shallow lakes. The analysis of reed resource dynamics show that reed-covered areas in this region are expanding every year. The main factors that influence the distribution of reed growths refer to human activities, climatic conditions, hydrological regime in water bodies and natural processes of eutrophication.

scholarly journals METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO DETERMINING THE MAIN FACTORS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF CREATIVE THINKING IN STUDENTS OF CREATIVE PROFESSIONS

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 391-404
Author(s):  
Myroslav Kryshtanovych ◽  
Svitlana Kryshtanovych ◽  
Liudmyla Stepanenko ◽  
Yuliіa Brodiuk ◽  
Alina Fast
Keyword(s):  
Historical Development ◽  
Creative Thinking ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Educational Institutions ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Expert Analysis ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Factors Of Influence ◽  
Main Factors

The phenomenon of a person’s creative thinking, as well as the mechanisms of its development,are in the problematic field of research of numerous scientists for many centuries. The relevance of these problems was reinforced in many respects by the desire of a person to understand his capabilities, to use them in order to create a comfortable environment around him. Interest in this problem at this stage of socio-historical development has its own special features.The questions that are raised in the study are what factors have the most significant influence on the development of creative thinking in students of creative professions. The main purpose of the article is to determine and compile the key factors for the development of creative thinking in students of creative professions as the main guarantee of their success. To do this, we have applied the methodology of the graph connections between the main factors, which will allow us to form a methodological approach to the hierarchical ordering of the most important factors in the development of creative thinking in students of creative professions as the main guarantee of their success. The subject of the research is the factors of influence on the creative thinking of students of creative specialties. The results of the study led to the formation of the key factors influencing the development of creative thinking among students of creative professions through expert analysis and a survey of specialists in this field and literature. The practical value of the study is to determine the key factors of influence on the development of creative thinking in students and the possibility of using the proposed methodological approach, in particular. The study has limitations and they consist because the process of determining the key factors for the development of creative thinking in students of creative professions took place only considering the specifics of the activities of educational institutions in Ukraine.

scholarly journals Simulating Development of Science in a Country with the Use of the Cognitive Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 67 ◽  
pp. 01008
Author(s):  
Mykola Kyzym ◽  
Olena Reshetniak ◽  
Oleksij Lelyuk
Keyword(s):  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Cognitive Model ◽  
Cognitive Models ◽  
Cognitive Approach ◽  
Practical Evaluation ◽  
Main Factors

The study proposes a methodological approach to justifying the directions for reforming the scientific sphere of a country which is based on the cognitive approach. Using the proposed approach, the groups of the main problems in the development of science in Ukraine are determined and indicators for their evaluation are singled out; the cognitive model of the development of science in Ukraine is constructed. On the basis of the constructed cognitive model, impulse simulation of the influence of the main factors on development of science in a country is carried out and, according to the hypotheses on the nature of their influence, four scenarios for the development of the process under study are constructed. The analysis of the developed scenarios allowed to justify the most effective measures to stimulate the development of science in Ukraine. The practical evaluation of the proposed methodological approach has proved the feasibility of using cognitive models for analyzing and simulating development of science in a country, which allows to quickly and accurately assess a situation and identify promising measures to support it.

THE MAIN FACTORS INFLUENCING THE FUNCTIONING OF HOTEL-RESTAURANT COMPLEXES AND TOURISM IN UKRAINE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruslan Skrynkovskyy ◽  
◽  
Sviatoslav Kniaz ◽  
Mariana Khmyz ◽  
Yuriy Tyrkalo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Species Classification ◽  
Travel Agents ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Travel Agencies ◽  
Main Factors

The article presents the main factors influencing the functioning of hotel-restaurant complexes and tourism in Ukraine. It has been established that hotel and restaurant and tourist complexes are included in the structure of the subjects of tourist activity. It was found that in the period 2013– 2019 the volume of services provided by temporary accommodation and catering companies, travel agencies, travel operators, companies providing other services, in particular, booking and related activities, has an unstable dynamic. It was determined that the dynamics of the total number of inbound (foreign), outbound and domestic tourists who were served by tour operators and travel agents by type of tourism was unstable, since the main reason that negatively affected this trend was the economic crisis of 2013–2015 in Ukraine, caused primarily by the instability of the situation in the political sphere. It was determined that in the species classification of tourism, that is, the distribution of tourists who were served by tour operators and travel agents, the highest is the number of outbound tourists traveling outside Ukraine. It was found that the number of domestic tourists is significantly lower than the number of outbound tourists, since on average for 2011–2020 was 23,6 %, and the lowest was in 2019 – 9,4 %, due to the COVID–2019 pandemic, under the influence of which another economic crisis arose not only in Ukraine, but also in the world as a whole. It was found that the proportion of inbound (foreign) tourists in the period 2011–2020 decreased sharply – from 10,6 % in 2010 to 0,5 % in 2020, the reason for which is the decrease in the attractiveness of the tourism industry of Ukraine for foreign tourists. It is noted that the prospects for further research in this direction are the development of a methodological approach to assessing the quality of tourism and hotel and restaurant services.

METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO FORECASTING THE COSTS OF CREATING AN AUTOMATED RATING SYSTEM

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (10) ◽  
pp. 21-26
Author(s):  
Anastasia S. Krasnikova ◽  
◽  
Alexander G. Podolsky ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Rating System ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Planning Decisions ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
The Cost

The article presents a methodological approach to forecasting the costs of creating an auto-mated rating system, which allows taking into account the costs of development, production and installation of its components. Economic and mathematical models are presented that take into account the main factors affecting the cost of creating components of an automated system, allowing to obtain adequate forecast esti-mates for making informed planning decisions.

scholarly journals Methodological approach towards studying the concept of “directing plan”

Litera ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 12-17
Author(s):  
Daria Savinova
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Method ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Literary Text ◽  
Time Transformation ◽  
Semantic Type ◽  
Complex Process ◽  
New Type ◽  
Theatrical Text ◽  
Current Stage

This article examines the concept of “directing script” from the theoretical-textological perspective, as attempts to determine the types of text transformation from the author’s plot to stage impersonation. At the same time, transformation is understood as a complex process of structuring a new type of text, created by the director during staging a spectacle. At the current stage, the theoretical problems of the analysis of transformation of literary text as a theatrical text remain unresolved and require due attention. The article explores the ways of interpretation of literary text by the directors, as well as demonstrates an attempt to create classification of the types of directing scripts. The study is based on the semiotic method. Research is conducted on the functional-semantic type of existence of stage art, reflected in such type of text as a directing script. Using analytical method, the author collected and classified the types of directing scripts. The scientific novelty consists in there is yet no theoretical-literary substantiation to the questions related to recoding of literary text into theatrical. Therefore, the author attempts to analyze the type of directing scripts that formed due to transformation of the literary text into its stage version.

High technology and their technical support are the main factors of crop production efficiency

2020 ◽  
pp. 194-204
Author(s):  
V. V. Adamchuk ◽  
M. I. Gritsyshyn ◽  
N. M. Perepelytsya
Keyword(s):  
Systems Engineering ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Technical Support ◽  
Efficient Production ◽  
Operational Parameters ◽  
Environmental Friendliness ◽  
Agricultural Enterprises ◽  
Technological Base ◽  
Main Factors

Annotation Purpose. Identify promising areas of increasing the efficiency and environmental friendliness of crop production in agricultural enterprises. Methods. Monographic, economic-mathematical, analytical, systems engineering. Results. Current trends in the development of agricultural technologies and their technical support are considered, a methodological approach to the formation of an effective technical and technological base of agricultural enterprises is proposed. It is established that the main factors that affect the efficiency and environmental friendliness of crop production are technologies and technical means for their implementation. In economically developed countries, technological innovation provides 70–90% of gross domestic product growth. A methodological approach to the formation of an effective technical and technological base of agricultural enterprises on the basis of innovative technologies and technical means with technical and operational parameters, consistent with the volume of mechanized work and rational agrotechnical terms for their implementation, is proposed. Conclusions. The main paradigm of the latest technologies for crop production is greening, which is based on the harmonization of the relationship between technology and soils, which will reduce the physical degradation of soils and preserve their fertility. Greening of agriculture in the context of global climate change should be based on targeted tillage, the introduction of the main dose of nutrients in the area of seed sowing, and preservation of crop residues of the predecessor (green manure) in rows to protect soil from overheating and moisture loss. To ensure efficient production of crop products in the agricultural enterprise should be formed technical and technological base based on science-intensive technologies and the latest technical means with technical and operational parameters consistent with the scope of work and rational agro-technical terms of their implementation. Keywords: technologies, technical and technological base, volumes of mechanized robots, technical means, technical and operational parameters.

scholarly journals New ports of the New World: Angra, Funchal, Port Royal and Bridgetown

2017 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 155-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Catarina Abrantes Garcia
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Social Factors ◽  
New World ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Landscape Archaeology ◽  
Port Cities ◽  
Port Royal ◽  
Port Systems ◽  
Main Factors ◽  
Geographical Economic

This article presents a comparative analysis of the port systems of the Portuguese and British Empires in the Atlantic during the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. It is based on the study of four insular ports under the sovereignty of these two imperial polities: Angra in the Azores, Funchal in Madeira, Bridgetown in Barbados, and Port Royal in Jamaica. The aim of the analysis is to compare the main factors that led to the choice of these sites as key places in the structure of the respective Portuguese and British imperial models, how they developed to satisfy trade needs and their most significant problems, as well as the extent to which the development of these colonies conformed to what was ‘expected’ of each imperial project, taking into account the geographical, economic and social factors of the respective port cities. The methodological approach to the study of these Atlantic insular ports brings together data from landscape archaeology, nautical and underwater archaeology, together with historical documentation and cartography.

scholarly journals On the connection of musico-rhetorical strategies and Marian topic/topos in renaissance motets

Muzikologija ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 159-171
Author(s):  
Senka Belic
Keyword(s):  
Sixteenth Century ◽  
Analytical Method ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Doctoral Dissertation ◽  
Rhetorical Strategies ◽  
Research Results ◽  
Late Fifteenth

The text summarizes some of the research results from my doctoral dissertation. In the broadest sense, the following text discusses the influence of rhetorical concepts and practices on the composition practice of the Renaissance. The methodological approach is interdisciplinary and multilayered, and it leads to the interpretation of Marian motifs dating from the late fifteenth to the end of the sixteenth century, in the context of rhetorical ideas and principles, and the Marian topic / topos. The most significant result of this text is the formation of a special analytical method by which the interpretive-contextual reading of musical marking is achieved.

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