Post-industrial development and the nature of deindustrialization in the world economy and economic security of Russia

The article evaluates the world experience of post-industrial development and deindustrialization in the economies of both developed and developing countries. The significance of the crisis of the post-industrial paradigm for the development of the world economy is indicated. The importance of applying this experience in the process of import substitution and the unfolding reindustrialization in Russia. The analysis of the world experience of post-industrial development and deindustrialization of the economy, its macro-regional features is carried out in the context of maintaining and developing Russia's economic security. The author's understanding of the problems and prospects of the development of import substitution and reindustrialization processes in theworld is proposed. Import substitution is considered as part of the country's economic development and national security strategy.

Development of innovative processes in integrated industrial structures (IPS)

The purpose of this article is to analyze the problems of development of innovative processes in integrated industrial structures (IPS).The article considers approaches and methods that activate the development of innovative processes in the IPS. Special attention is paid to the consideration of issues reflecting the economic forms of integration of industrial enterprises: the processes of organizational transformation based on the creation and functioning of new production structures, involving the adaptation of their structural units to the development of innovative activities. Special attention is paid to the formation of the IPS as a promising form of management at the current stage of economic development. The paper analyzes the IPS as a factor of interaction and organization of effective activities of economic entities. The approaches of different authors to the definition of this term are shown. The author comes to the conclusion that the existing industrial environment contributes to the development of innovative activities of enterprises in the industrial sector, its definition is given, the essence and content are revealed. The author identifies and describes the characteristic features of integration processes, the main forms of integration are given, their content is disclosed. The author determines that the management of changes carried out in the development of integration processes is a separate type of innovative activity with its inherent features. Considerable attention is paid to the creation of cluster-network structures representing the development of integration processes in the industrial environment on the basis of network cooperation of participants. The definition of cluster-network integration of industrial sector enterprises has been put into circulation. It is shown that the formation and implementation of the activities of individual enterprises in the cluster gives a positive impetus to the entire innovation system through the mechanisms of networking and participation in technological platforms.

Russian economy innovative development scenarios

The unfolding fourth industrial revolution sets global goals for the world community, requiring the implementation of systemic transformations in all spheres of human activity. Preparations for securing Russia's technological leadership began a long time ago. However, the measures being taken are not enough to build an integral innovation ecosystem, which would make it possible to organize at a high level the building up of innovative potential, its effective use and increase the country's competitiveness in a dynamically changing environment. The key problems of the shortage of expected effects include the lack of formation of the competitive market, the low potential of domestic research in the field of improving strategic planning and methodological tools for making managerial decisions, poor management at all levels of the production hierarchy, the low degree of interest of economic entities in innovative transformation and investment in changing organizational and managerial structures. The paper analyzes the scenario conditions that determine the formation of an innovative economy and the improvement of the country's rating at the global level. The main factors that maximally affect the resulting indicators of innovative activity are investigated. Predictive models of innovative development have been constructed depending on the intensity of changes in factors sensitive to variations in world trends. The need for a systemic restructuring of the traditional economic order is argued. Scientific and practical recommendations on increasing innovative activity and improving the digital culture of the subjects of the Russian economy, taking into account the existing opportunities and potential of world leadership, are proposed.

Components of management technologies of the mechanism of sustainable innovative development of the national economy

The article examines the components of management technologies for the mechanism of sustainable innovative development of the national economy. The purpose of the article is to highlight the basis and components of management technologies for the mechanism of sustainable innovative development of the national economy.As part of the management technologies of the mechanism of sustainable innovative development of the national economy, the study of the goals of sustainable innovative development of the national economy is substantiated. The basis for sustainable innovative development of the national economy is an innovative infrastructure, the institutions of which are able to qualitatively perform the function associated with the production and implementation of innovations. Despite the significant achievements of domestic economic science, the problem of defining management technologies for the mechanism of sustainable innovative development is very relevant. The market segment of the innovation infrastructure deserves special attention, since the innovation market in many areas of economic activity is underdeveloped. A characteristic feature of the innovation infrastructure is the lack of a clear management system for the process of innovative development of the national economy.As a result of the study, we proposed our own vision of a promising innovative infrastructure, which will allow us to implement the tasks of innovative development of the national economy. The innovation infrastructure of sustainable innovative development of the national economy should include institutions related to the production and implementation of innovation, and which are an integral part of the innovation process.

Implementation of the state policy in the field of innovation

In the Strategy of scientific and technological development of the Russian Federation, the main goal is to ensure the competitiveness and independence of the state by forming an effective system of the most complete application and development of the intellectual potential of the state. The main directions in the work of the Government of the Russian Federation, for the period up to 2024, is the formation of conditions for the entry of the Russian Federation into the top five leading countries in the field of R D, represented by the priorities of scientific and technological development of the state, determined by this Strategy.These areas are represented by the Program, which is the main mechanism for implementing the Strategy. It is aimed at increasing the socio-economic effect of applying the results of scientific research and intellectual activity, significantly increasing the efficiency of using budget funds and extra-budgetary sources to finance R D, by switching to the qualified customer model. The Strategy also provides for measures to develop the level of capitalization of the educational potential of the population to fulfill the tasks of technical modernization of industrial production, development of entrepreneurial structures of all types, attracting talents, social mobility, ensuring the required rates of economic growth, as well as the quality of life of society

Vector model of error correction in modeling the relationship between bank lending indicators and the growth rates of the Russian economy

The article discusses the problem of modeling the functional dependence of the volume of loans issued and the growth rate of the Russian economy. The relevance of this study is due to the need to identify the factors affecting the growth of the indicator of real gross domestic product. The analyzed domestic and foreign sources do not provide a single set of factors affecting the growth rate of the national economy, highlighting financial mechanisms, production processes, lending volumes to individuals and legal entities, investment activity, etc. The article notes the problem of the formation of a multifactor model of the influence of various parameters on the indicator of the growth rate of the national economy. The process of modeling the functional dependence of GDP on the elements of the influence vector is complicated by the specifics of statistical data. In order to avoid such problems associated with series cointegration, a vector error correction model was proposed. The model was tested on statistical data of organizations in the banking sector and enterprises of the real sector of the Russian economy. It was revealed that under the existing conditions of organizing the lending process, the banking system works not so much to increase production volumes as to maintain the level of the financial condition of economic entities (maintaining the level of liquidity and increasing financial investments), while not contributing to a change in the overall structure of the Russian economy. The developed vector model of error correction makes it possible to measure deviations from equilibrium and the rate of its recovery, which indicates the greater efficiency of this technique. At the same time, the above results allow us to conclude that in the presence of a positive relationship between the volume of lending and the main indicators, the degree of influence of lending on economic growth is generally insignificant

Intensity of logistics processes of production

Increasing the intensity of the production process is directly related to improving the quality of human life. Today, there is a need for a quick and flexible response to changing consumer priorities. The solution to this complex problem is taken over by logistics. The logistics process is a sequence of operations that are organized in a certain way in time, allowing you to achieve your goals. The subject of the study of the logistics process is the organization, coordination, and optimization of the movement of material and related flows. The structure of the logistics process includes the following links: natural resources; mining; recycling; storage; distribution; transpor- tation of products. A simulation model of the logistics chain consisting of the above-listed links has been devel- oped. Resources are an energy source that feeds the logistics chain and ensures the movement of the material flow. Recycling transformation, transformation of resources into a specific type of product. Transport repre- sents active losses. Storage the delay in the movement of the material flow for the duration of storage. Distribu- tion costs for the trading sector. Mathematical models for studying the intensity of production processes using the Mathcad program are developed. The analysis was carried out: of a market model of the intensity of the flows of the production process of the market economy with a different resource bases; of a planned model of the inten- sity of the flows of the production process of the planned economy with different resource bases.

Recommendations on the implementation of the spatial potential of small enterprises as an instrument of regional economic policy

The spatial approach to the study of the development of small enterprises is an actual scientific direction. There are gaps in the effective practical implementation of the spatial capabilities of small enterprises, which consist in fine-tuningthe system of state and municipal development of the small enterprise sector. The purpose of this study is to form practical recommendations to the authorities on the implementation of the spatial potential of small enterprises on the example of the Samara Region. The article examines the set of small enterprises of the Samara Region, taking into account the principle of joint consideration of legal entities and individual entrepreneurs based on information obtained from the publications of Federal State Statistics Service and the Unified Register of Small and Medium-sized Businesses. General scientific methods are used: analysis, logical, synthesis, as well as special methods: content analysis, program-target. Proposals for the development of small enterprises in the multi-level economic space of the region and comments on the adjustment of the institutional framework of the regional economic management system are formed on the example of the Samara Region. The scientific significance of the results obtained is to increase the validity of the regional economic policy pursued by the authorities. The practical significance of the work lies in the possibility of applying the system of strategic planning documents at the regional and sub-regional levels in the development and adjustment of the system. The recommendations made are proposed to be taken into account as additions to the regional system of strategic documents of the Samara Region.

Tools of planning the balanced cash flow at production of the missile and space equipment

The provided tools of planning of the balanced cash flow by production of the missile and space equipment consider features of activity of such enterprises and allow to plan and bring the budget of cash flow of the enterprise to a condition of feasibility, due to balance of inflows and cash outflows and attraction of bank loans, the most cost-efficient method taking into account strategic objectives.

Models of multiple regression as an instrument of regional mortgage markets’ functioning effectiveness assessment

The article is dedicated to issues related to the formation of the Russian Federation regions economically justified classifications by housing mortgage lending (HML) systems stage of development, for the implementation of mortgage markets selective government adjustment policy. The purpose of the study is to develop the methodology of regions mortgage potential assessment based on the search of additional application solutions in the area of rapid assessment and forecasting of regional mortgage markets state. To achieve the purpose, an additional version of common methodology of Russian Federation regions systematic ranking by HML systems stage of development is represented, and its main steps are structured. Within the third step of new methodology, a multiple regression model of Factor 1 (F1) is developed, which was interpreted in authors early studies as a performance indicator of regional mortgage markets functioning effectiveness. The models development was based on the statistical processings results of 510 observations in 85 Russian Federation regions in a period from 2014 to 2019. The high accuracy of models approximation has been proved, as well as its statistical reliability. The application capabilities of the model are represented, particularly the results of period 2020-2021 forecasting for Samara region and Saint-Petersburg city. The ways of managing the rating of region through targeted distribution of available regional and federal resources received by the models predictors are outlined. The novelty of this study is contained in the results of adaptation of the new assessment methodology, which is based on the obtainment of multiple regression model for Factor 1. The methodology base of the study consists of systematic analysis methods and multivariate statistics, particularly regressive and correlation analysis methods.