scholarly journals Fertility Transitions: Implications for Future Demographic Trends in Qatar

Author(s):  
Noora Lari ◽  
Noof Al-Rakeb ◽  
Noor Al Emadi ◽  
Sundos Ashi

Introduction: In Qatar, while most of the country’s demographic situations have been widely studied, much less attention has been paid to the determinants of Qatari women’s sociodemographic characteristics and the prevalence of family planning methods. This raises the following question: How, and to what extent, do population dynamics that stratify national populations by age; sex; marital status; and level of education, income, and employment contribute to the declining of fertility rate and cause mortality differentials in Qatar. Materials and methods: Data from a 2018 fertility survey project with a random sample of 607 Qatari households, collected via personal interviews using a questionnaire and a computer assisted personal interview, by the Social and Economic Survey Research Institute at Qatar University, was examined based on a multi-dimensional model. The data were analyzed using logistic and Poisson regression techniques. Results: The data show that Qatari women’s total fertility rate is 3.2, with women in the 20–29 age group having the highest fertility rates. Evaluating the effects of women’s educational attainment and employment status revealed no significant factors influencing the agespecific fertility rate of Qatari women. In addition, the results indicate that the most common contraceptive method currently used among Qatari women is pills (29%), and their use is more prevalent among older Qatari women who have had more children than among younger Qatari women with fewer children. Conclusion/ future direction: The paper provides comprehensive policy recommendations for increasing the reproductive rate in Qatar by providing supporting programs to increase the total fertility rate and childbearing rates among Qatari women. It also promotes the provision of high-quality family planning services.

Author(s):  
Mahvish Qazi ◽  
Najmus Saqib ◽  
Sachin Gupta

Background: India with 1.35 billion people is the second most populated country in the world next to China. Total fertility rate of India is 2.2 and the current total fertility rate of Jammu and Kashmir is 1.7 which is still lagging behind various states. This study was conducted to investigate the knowledge, attitude and practices of contraception in women of reproductive age in this set up.Methods: The present cross-sectional study was carried out in patients attending OPD (outpatient department) of Obstetrics and Gynecology at ASCOMS, Jammu, Jammu and Kashmir, India from 1st September 2017 to 31st August 2018. 200 married women aged between 18-49 years were included in this study. Socio-demographic characteristics of the women, their knowledge, attitude and practices on contraception were evaluated with the help of predesigned questionnaire.Results: Out of 200 women, maximum respondents belong to age group of 21-25 years (75.6%). Most of the contraceptive non-users belongs to age below 20 years (62.5%). Majority of respondents were Hindu (70.37%), maximum studied up to secondary level education (84.61%), 70.30% were housewives and 56.58% belongs to middle class. In 45% of respondents, media was the main source of information. Preferred spacing method was condom in 85% of cases. 68% women had knowledge of female sterilization. According to most women, family planning methods are meant for limitations of birth (43%) and 36% meant for spacing of birth. 80% women had positive attitude towards contraceptive usage. 50% experienced side effects with the use of contraceptives. The most common side effect was menstrual irregularities in 25% of cases. Most common reason for not using contraceptive methods among non-respondents were lack of knowledge in 50% of cases.Conclusions: The study showed that inspite of having good knowledge, utilization of contraceptives were less because of large family norm, religious myth, cultural and political barriers. Ignorance regarding use and side effects of various contraceptive methods is another reason for inadequate practice of family planning methods.


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽  
Author(s):  
D Lamnisos ◽  
K Giannakou ◽  
T Siligari

Abstract Background Demographic aging is an emerging issue in Greece, characterized by low fertility and increased life expectancy. Undoubtedly, demographic aging is a challenge for public health not only due to the financing of public pensions, but also for the increasing utilization of health care. Methods The total fertility rate and life expectancy at birth are projected probabilistically using Bayesian hierarchical models and United Nations population data for Greece from the period of 1950 to 2015. These are then converted to age-specific mortality rates and combined with a cohort component projection model. This yields probabilistic projections of total population by sex and age groups, total fertility rate (TFR), female and male life expectancies at birth and potential support ratio PSR (persons aged 20-64 per person 65+) by the year 2100. Results The total population in Greece in 1950 was around 7.5 million, increasing to 11 million based on the 2011 population census but is projected to decline to 7.5 million at 2100. TFR has followed a strong downward trend with 1.4 children per woman in 2005-2010 and is projected to have a slight increase to 1.6 and 1.8 children per woman for 2050 and 2100 with all values being below the replacement-level fertility. Life expectancy is expected to increase to 84 years for men and 88 years for women in 2050, and 90 years for men and 94 years for women in 2100. PSR is expected to decline dramatically from 3 in 2011 to approximately 1.5 in 2050 and 2100. Conclusions Over the years, Greece has lost its youthful structure and has acquired the characteristics of an aging population, reflecting the population distribution of Western countries. Demographic aging is harmful for the economic growth, the social security system, the social assistance, and it is closely linked to national defense and public health. A long-term multidimensional program is recommended to confront the demographic issue based on the previous international experience. Key messages Total fertility rate will be below replacement level and potential support ratio will decline dramatically. A long-term multidimensional program needs to be developed to address the demographic aging.


Populasi ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Lutfi Agus Salim ◽  
Lutfan Lazuardi ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro

Indikator fertilitas, seperti Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), General Fertility Rate (GFR), dan Gross Reproductive Rate (GRR), untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk setiap tahun di level kabupaten/kota sejak otonomi daerah sering tidak tersedia. Aplikasi sistem informasi fertilitas Smart Fert sebagai alat untuk mengukur indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diaplikasikan sangat layak untuk dikembangkan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan aplikasi Smart Fert serta menguji hasil perhitungan indikator fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert dibandingkan dengan perhitungan dari hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Penelitian ini merancang aplikasi Smart Fert berbasis bahasa visual basic. Untuk mengukur ketepatan dan kevalidan hasil perhitungan fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert, maka hasilnya dibandingkan dengan standar yang baik, yaitu hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hasil perhitungan fertilitas dengan aplikasi Smart Fert tidak menunjukkan perbedaan signifikan dengan hasil metode langsung Sensus Penduduk 2010. Dengan demikian, aplikasi Smart Fert dapat dipakai sebagai alat penghitung indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diimplementasikan untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk di tingkat kabupaten/kota.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Puri Kusuma Dwi Putri ◽  
Aida Vitayala Hubeis ◽  
Sarwititi Sarwoprasodjo

Indonesia experienced a change in the organization of the Family Planning (FP) Program from centralized to a decentralized one. This article aims to compare various Indonesia’s FP policies, implemented by the National Population and Family Planning Board (NPFPB), in each era of governance, and their respective Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Population Growth Rate (PGR) achievements. We reviewed FP programs from Soekarno’s presidency until Joko Widodo’s presidency (1983-2018). The centralization approached was implemented during the Soekarno’s and Soeharto’s presidency, while the decentralization has been implemented since Habibie’s and Joko Widodo’s presidency. The centralization approach in Soeharto’s presidency had succeeded in lowering the TFR and become success story of the FP program. In contrast, the decentralization approach has not reached its target since it has impacted the organizational structure and family planning programs and their achievements through every new presidency. The decentralization also changed the communication role in the declining TFR and PGR era in each presidency in Indonesia.


Author(s):  
Aissata Mahamadou Sidibe ◽  
Paul I Kadetz ◽  
Therese Hesketh

The total fertility rate in Mali (6.2) is the third highest in the world. Despite sociocultural similarities, the total fertility rate in neighboring Senegal is 4.2. The aim of this study is to identify factors which may help to explain the differences between the two countries and which may thereby inform family planning policy in Mali. A cross-sectional study was conducted with a convenience sample of 602 married women aged 16–50 from urban and rural sites in southern Mali and Senegal. A total of 298 respondents from Mali and 304 from Senegal completed a structured questionnaire between July and October 2018. In total, 11.1% of the Malian respondents and 30.9% of the Senegalese respondents were currently using family planning, and 34.6% and 40.5%, respectively, had ever used a modern family planning method. Pressure from husbands was cited as a primary influence for having more children (in 50.3% of Malians and 45.4% of Senegalese, p = 0.000). Women’s age, education level, and knowledge of different contraceptive methods were associated with ever use of contraceptives. After adjustment for confounders, discussing family planning with one’s husband was the strongest predictor of contraceptive use among both Senegalese (OR = 3.4, 95% CI (1.9–6.3), p = 0.000) and Malian respondents (OR = 7.3, (4.1–13.3), p = 0.000).


1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Nagi

SummaryThis paper examines data on fertility levels in 33 Moslem countries between 1960 and 1980. Fertility measures include crude birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific birth rate, and the percentage change in them between 1960 and 1980.The analysis focuses on: (1) the current status of Moslem fertility in comparison to non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) the emerging fertility differentials among Moslem countries; (3) how much of the recent fertility declines in some Moslem countries is associated with modernization variables and with family planning efforts.The results indicate that: (1) Moslem fertility remains universally high and is generally higher than in non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) very few Moslem countries have succeeded in bringing down their level of fertility to justify a search for the predictors of Moslem fertility levels; (3) in spite of a sufficient range of variations in the economic and social correlates of fertility, the corresponding fertility variables in these countries do not suggest that the reproductive behaviour of Moslem women has reacted to such variations; (4) efforts directed towards stronger family planning programmes are clearly related to fertility decline.


Author(s):  
Yaroslava Robles-Bykbaev ◽  
Nina Naula ◽  
Javier Cornejo-Reyes ◽  
Ana Parra ◽  
Vladimir Robles-Bykbaev ◽  
...  

Sexual and reproductive health (SRH) is a fundamental human right that implies knowledge and exercise of sexual and reproductive rights (SSR). Among the latter are access to knowledge and use of contraceptive methods; therefore, SSR should be experienced as a constant experience that allows women to achieve full satisfaction and security in their sexual and reproductive sphere through their subjectivity, their body, and their social and cultural life. Knowing about family planning allows having the desired number of children determining the interval between pregnancies and choosing the contraceptive method according to the social, cultural and psychological beliefs, needs and conditions of each woman. However, indigenous women from Canton Cañar (Ecuador) have less access and knowledge to contraceptive methods, mainly due to the influence of social, cultural, religious and economic factors, among others. The lack of information about family planning in indigenous populations of the South of Ecuador has motivated this study; through a medical-anthropological approach, it is intended to determine what is the preference regarding contraceptive methods in indigenous Cañari women in the context of the Cañari culture and what are their perceptions regarding such methods.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hocheol Lee ◽  
Eshetu Girma Kindane ◽  
Young Ah Doh ◽  
Eun Woo Nam

Abstract Background: In 2019, Ethiopia had a total fertility rate of 4.2 births per woman with the rates varying significantly across regions. The Federal Ministry of Health of Ethiopia announced “Ethiopia FP 2020” to address the high fertility rate, aiming to reduce it to 3.0 by 2020. This study aimed to identify the determinants of the use of modern family planning services in the Amhara, Oromia, and Somali regions.Methods: A community-based, cross-sectional mixed methods study was conducted, using quantitative and qualitative data. The quantitative data were subjected to binary logistic regression analyses. Participants included over 4,117 married men and women aged 15-65 years old.Results: Respondents in Oromia were 8.673 times more likely to have modern family planning methods than those in Somali. Participants in Amhara were 5.183 times more likely to have modern family planning methods than their Somali counterparts. Women, married respondents, and recipients of media messages were more likely to have family planning experience. Family planning discussions with Health Extension Workers and health professionals played a significant role in modern family planning. Conclusion: Establishing a family planning strategy that considers the sociocultural characteristics of each region might help address regional contexts. Everyone in Somali—especially husbands and religious leaders—must be educated in family planning and funds be made available to deploy advanced measures for the same.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Kristin Bietsch ◽  
Ali Arbaji ◽  
Jennifer Mason ◽  
Rebecca Rosenberg ◽  
Malak Al Ouri

Background: Between the two most recent Population and Family Health Surveys, Jordan saw a dramatic decline in the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) from 3.5 to 2.7 in 5.5 years.  Over the same period, modern contraceptive use also declined, from 61.2% to 51.8% among married women.  This decrease in both TFR and the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) diverges from the typical relationship seen between these two factors whereby historically as CPR increases, TFR decreases.  This paper explores this unique pattern using multiple methodologies.  Methods: First, we validate the survey data using nationally collected data on fertility and contraceptive distribution.  Second, we look to changes that have historically influenced changes in CPR and TFR, including changes in ideal family size and wanted fertility rates. Third, we explore proximate determinants and other influences on fertility and changes in contraception, examining the changes in the method mix and unmet need; marriage patterns, including the demographics of the married population, spousal separation, and time since last sex; postpartum insusceptibility; infecundity, both primary and secondary; and abortion, to see if any have shifted significantly enough to allow for fertility to decline with less contraceptive use. Results: We find that the decline in fertility in Jordan was driven by a reduction in mistimed or unwanted pregnancies and there was a significant increase in the share of reproductive aged women who are infecund. We also concluded that the changes in fertility and contraceptive use are driven by changes in Jordanian nationals, not by the growing Syrian refugee population. Conclusions: Jordan is not the only country to be experiencing a shift in the typical relationship between CPR and TFR.  Results can inform both future approaches for family planning programs and our expectations regarding what kind of change our family planning investments might buy.


Matematika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gani Gunawan ◽  
Eti Kurniati ◽  
Icih Sukarsih

Abstrak. Perhitungan jumlah penduduk dapat dilakukan secara langsung melalui suatu sensus penduduk. Salah satu faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi jumlah penduduk pada suatu wilayah adalah tingkat kelahiran atau angka fertilitas. Namun hasil pendataan yang dilakukan pada umumnya hanya memberikan informasi jumlah penduduk yang hidup pada saat sensus diadakan dan tidak mencatat secara lengkap jumlah bayi lahir hidup yang kemudian meninggal pada waktu sensus. Hal tersebut menyebabkan perhitungan angka fertilitas secara langsung tidak mungkin dilakukan, sehingga diperlukan suatu metode Matematika yang secara tak langsung dapat digunakan untuk menghitung angka fertilitas di suatu wilayah. Dalam makalah ini akan diperlihatkan suatu cara perhitungan kelahiran atau fertilitas secara tidak langsung, dimana cara ini dapat menentukan angka kelahiran tercegah sebagai indikator keberhasilan pengendalian jumlah penduduk melalui program Keluarga Berencana (KB), sehingga melalui perhitungan  ini  dapat ditentukan angka fertilitas total yang didasarkan pada efektifitas penggunaan alat kontrasepsi.Kata Kunci : keluarga berencana (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)Abstract. (Implementation of the Calculation Model for Estimated Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Based on the Effectiveness Use of Contraception in West Java Province) The calculation of the population can be done directly through a population census. One factor that can affect the population in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. However, the results of data collection carried out, in general only provide information on the number of people living at the time the census is held, and not complete records of the number of live-born babies who later died during the census. This has made it impossible to calculate the fertility rate directly, so a Mathematical method is needed that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in an area. This paper will show a method of calculating birth or fertility indirectly, where this method can determine the preventable birth rate as an indicator of the success of controlling population through Family Planning (KB) programs, so that through this calculation can be determined the total fertility rate based on effectiveness use of contraceptives.Keywords : family planning (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)


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