FORECASTING THE EXPORT POTENTIAL OF UKRAINIAN GRAIN INDUSTRY ENTERPRISES, TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE LEVEL OF DEVELOPMENT OF DOMESTIC SELECTION

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 199-208
Author(s):  
Ivan CHERNIAVSKYI
Keyword(s):  
Rapid Development ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Corn Yield ◽  
Production Volume ◽  
Grain Production ◽  
Wheat Varieties ◽  
Yield Level ◽  
Maize Seeds ◽  
The Future ◽  
Yield Forecast

The scientific article is devoted to the problem of forecasting the grain production volume and enterprise export potential of the Ukrainian grain industry (taking into account the development level of domestic breeding) for the medium term under 3 alternative scenarios. Grain sowing area was forecasted by 2023 using an adaptive forecasting model. The results of the conducted research show that by 2023 the area of corn sowing will increase to 4922 thousand hectares. The corn yield forecast for 2023 has been developed, which shows that the yield level will increase substantially. So, if in 2017 the yield of this crop was 61 hwt / ha, then on average in 2023 it will be 76.6 hwt / ha. It is established that yield is one of the main factors for increasing the volume of grain production. The forecast suggests that on average, corn grain exports from Ukraine tend to grow in the future, namely that it will grow by 11.8 % in 2023 compared to the 2018/2019 marketing year and amount to 30835 thousand tons. Under the optimistic scenario, corn production in the year 2023 will be 42536 thousand tons, which is 54.4 % more than in the 2018/2019 marketing year. The results of the study show that in the future (by 2023), the volumes of maize seeds use will increase – on average they will increase by 8 %, and by the optimistic forecast – by 25 % compared to the 2018/2019 marketing year and will amount to 585 thousand tons. The analysis shows that in 2019 there was a rapid development of both world and Ukrainian breeding. Thus, analyzing the varieties of the main grain crops, it should be noted that in the analyzed period the number of registered varieties suitable for distribution in Ukraine increased by 11.7 times, including the domestic ones – 10.5 times. Accordingly, maize grew 21.8 times and 14.4 times, respectively. It is worth noting a fairly high proportion of domestic wheat varieties, whose share is 72 %. What cannot be said for other crops, in particular, the share of domestic varieties is only 47 %. In the medium to long term, Ukraine can increase its seed exports by a dozen times. Opportunities for capacity-building of seed plants are steadily increasing every year. Large seed companies, such as “Pioneer”, “Monsanto”, “Syngenta”, “Moisadur”, “Euralis Semens” and domestic “Mais”, “Eridon”, “Selena”, “Eurostandard”, have potential to attract foreign investments to bring Ukraine to the forefront in sales of cereal seeds (wheat, barley, oats, rye and corn) and oilseeds (sunflower, soybean, mustard and rapeseed). Key words: cereals, corn, corn seeds, forecasting, adaptive forecasting models, export potential, acreage, yield.

ABOUT CUSTOMS BUSINESS IN TURKESTAN IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE 19th -EARLY 20th CENTURY

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 38-47
Author(s):  
Chinpulat Kurbanov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Early 20Th Century ◽  
The Future ◽  
History Of ◽  
Stage Development

The author in this scientific article examines the stage-by-stage development and formation of customs in Turkestan in the second half of the 19th -early 20th centuries. The author studied the history of customs in Turkestan and its role in establishing a single customs line in the future with neighboring khanates. The author focuses on the role of Russia in the establishment of a single customs line and the development of customs in Turkestan

THE NATIONAL SECURITY SYSTEM

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 1849-1854
Author(s):  
Marin Petkov
Keyword(s):  
National Security ◽  
Functional State ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Science And Technology ◽  
Security System ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Moral Code ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
Factors Affecting

The rapid development of science and technology has led to the emergence of a crisis in society. Science "pushes" religion, but does not offer a new moral code in its place. The definitions of "security" are almost as many and as controversial as postmodernism. For the purposes of this study, however, it will be sufficient to define security as "the functional state of a system that provides for the neutralization and counteraction of external and internal factors affecting or potentially damaging the system." This scientific article presents a study, which seeks to answer the question why the paradigm "security" is so important in the postmodern society, what are the roots of its influence and meaning, and to seek conclusions and guidelines for its increase.

Technology for a Systems Approach in the Development of Military Education under the Rapid Development and Growth of Armaments and Equipment

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 4306-4319
Author(s):  
Vadym Ryzhykov ◽  
Kira Horiacheva ◽  
Oleksandr Bondarenko ◽  
Oleg Prokhorov ◽  
Anatolii Yurkov
Keyword(s):  
Military Personnel ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Military Education ◽  
Educational Process ◽  
Systemic Approach ◽  
Educational Institutions ◽  
Single System ◽  
The Future ◽  
Pedagogic Research

Research on military education under the rapid development and growth of armaments and equipment is booming. The field is continually gaining more key insights about this important and complex pedagogical problem. Academic interest on the systemic approach in the development of military education has consistently been a multidisciplinary effort. But perhaps systemic approach in pedagogic researchers are particularly well situated to be the leading voices on the public’s understanding of military education and many are heeding the call. With that responsibility in mind, in this paper, we offer to consider four elements of the educational process for the future of pedagogic research that we believe can help focus this line of inquiry to better ensure we address some of the most pressing problems. Based on critical assessments of the gaps in the literature, the paper cites the need to combine all elements of the educational process into a single system to achieve a focused result in the training of military personnel in educational institutions. Our list is not exhaustive, nor do we suggest that areas we do not cover are not important. Rather, we make these observations with the goal of spurring a conversation about the future of military education research, but especially a systemic approach in the development of military education.

scholarly journals AUTOMATED MODELING AND FORECASTING SYSTEM OF ENTERPRISE ACTIVITIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 20-26
Author(s):  
A. Khariv ◽  
A. Lagun
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Computer Technology ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Computing Methods ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Enterprise Management ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
The Future ◽  
Modelling And Forecasting

Introduction. Mathematical methods and models are an effective tool for studying complex economic systems at different levels of enterprise management. Economic mathematical modelling is actively developing not only as a scien-tific field but also as a means of substantiating management decisions in business, in the analysis and forecasting of socio-economic processes and phenomena. In the arsenal of economic and mathematical modelling now are using- modern computing methods and computer technology. Libraries of economic and mathematical models are an integral part of the architecture of decision support systems in specific areas of the economy. The rapid development of computer technology stimulates the emergence and formation of new theoretical volumes and applied areas of modelling.Purpose. Like any large and complex field of knowledge, mathematical modelling is evolving in different direc-tions, acquiring new flexible research methods. Therefore, based on new hardware, technology and software platforms it is necessary to create new information systems using economic and mathematical models in particular for forecasting of enterprise activities.Results. The article analyses the methods of modelling and forecasting the enterprise, considers the principles of software design. Using systems analysis, the design problem was analytically divided into parts. Also were investigated the connections and relationships between these parts, in particular, were implemented the problem tree and the goal tree. Implemented business process modelling performs based on created structural-logical diagrams, namely the IDEF0 dia-gram, which helps to visually display data and information that affect software development, a server part, input data and users. Using the results of research, the authors developed an automated information system for modelling and forecasting the activities of the enterprise, which uses models of Holt, Brown, exponential smoothing and Box-Jenkins for modelling. Part of the developed system is a designed software product that implements the objectives of the research. The obtained program results allow creating a clear forecast of the future activities of the enterprise.Conclusions. Based on the built graphs of modelling and forecasting of the Cisco Systems company financial activity with using of the developed automated system, we established that the Brown model is the best for providing educational sampling and a forecast of activity. The development of the automated system in the future involves the expansion of functionality, improvement and increasing of quality, as well as the creation of powerful analytics for more detailed forecasting.

scholarly journals The next generation of RNA vaccines: self-amplifying RNA

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Blakney
Keyword(s):  
Side Effects ◽  
Messenger Rna ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Next Generation ◽  
High Efficacy ◽  
Vaccine Platform ◽  
The Future ◽  
High Doses ◽  
The Stability

The global COVID-19 pandemic has brought tremendous momentum to the field of messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines. The advantages of this vaccine platform, such as rapid development and high efficacy, resulted in mRNA vaccines being the first approved vaccines against COVID-19. Looking forward to the development of future vaccines, how can we make RNA vaccines even better? While improvements in the stability of the formulation and cost of the vaccine are inevitable, one of the main challenges is lowering the dose of RNA in order to avoid side effects associated with high doses of RNA. One way to do this is by using self-amplifying RNA (saRNA), a type of mRNA that encodes a replicase that copies the original strand of RNA once it’s in the cell. Here, we discuss the origins of saRNA, how it works in comparison to mRNA, current challenges in the field and the future of saRNA vaccines.

scholarly journals Analysis on the Share Price and Forecasting Calculation Data of Activision Blizzard, Inc. Based on SWOT-Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 02015
Author(s):  
Jiahao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Video Game ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Advanced Technology ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
Online Game ◽  
Calculation Data ◽  
Good Investment ◽  
The Future ◽  
Game Industry

In recent years, increasingly advanced technology infrastructure leads to an extraordinary growth of Internet users. By virtue of the explosive growth of the entire Internet industry, the online game industry has shown a rapid development trend, and the overall user scale of online games continues to expand. Meanwhile, the online game industry becomes a good investment market for investors to operate in. This article uses Blizzard as an example to analyze its investment value. Besides, the future trend of the video game industry is analyzed by using the SWOT-model and forecasting calculation data. The result shows that based on the current development of the game industry environment and the same companies in the game industry, Activision Blizzard will have a steady increase in profits in the future. Therefore, it is worth being invested.

scholarly journals Formation and development of environment in Kyrgyz literature and journalism

2020 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 15017
Author(s):  
Nurzhan Dzhumagazieva
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Degradation ◽  
Cultural Context ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Environmental Issues ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Literary Analysis ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Scientific Article ◽  
Methodological Basis ◽  
Evolution Of Ideas

The purpose of the scientific article is to consider the stages of formation of the term "environment" in Kyrgyz literature and journalism. The article considers the specifics of journalistic literature of Kyrgyzstan as part of the general socio-cultural context of the country, and reviews journalism and socially oriented poetry of the Kyrgyz people. The place of the concept "environment" in the works of authors of Kyrgyzstan is determined. An analysis of the main periods of development of journalism in Kyrgyzstan was made, which allowed us to trace the etymology of the term "environment". The topic of the development of environmental issues in the works of Kyrgyzstan is relevant in the modern world, as the rapid development of industry and the increasing level of urbanization contributes to environmental degradation. Within the framework of a global scale, consideration of this problem in the framework of literary analysis will allow us to formulate the importance of the educational function of journalism in solving environmental issues. Environmental issues are popular. However, the topic of formation and development of the environment in Kyrgyz literature and journalism has not been studied. That is why the scientific novelty of the work is to develop a periodization of the evolution of ideas of environmentalism in literature and journalism. The methodological basis of the research is the analysis of literary and journalistic works of Kyrgyzstan at different stages of development of the territory under consideration.

scholarly journals Studying of the levels of forming communicative competence of the future police officers

2018 ◽  
pp. 89-93
Author(s):  
Alina Kudlay
Keyword(s):  
Police Officer ◽  
Police Officers ◽  
Information Technologies ◽  
Professional Training ◽  
Interpersonal Relations ◽  
Professional Competence ◽  
Communicative Competence ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Professional Activity ◽  
The Future

As a result of the rapid development of intercultural communication and global transformations taking place in the world in the 90s of the XX century, it became necessary to create a new personality with a new set of qualities and competencies that are urgently needed for the rational functioning in a multicultural world. For the successful performance of professional duties is not enough to be a specialist who knows job, today. Modern Ukrainian society needs educated professionals who can think critically and make decisions independently in a situation that requires a choice, that is, to be dynamic, mobile, creative. That is, the main feature of professional activity is its development, which requires constant updating and improvement of skills. Each specialist should acquire new knowledge and improve their skills, and, consequently, improve their professional qualities. According to research, professionals who are not engaged in improving professional competence, there comes a time in life when they have internal dissatisfaction with their activities and they need to improve professional skills, or even change their professional orientation. Given the large variety of information technologies at all educational levels, it is not difficult to improve your professional level, and mobile learning is a way to solve a number of educational problems today. In this regard, the relevance of communicative education of future police officers is increasing. After all, the need to train a competent police officer capable of effective professional activity in a multi-ethnic environment is a priority in the training of future police officers in the parameters of European standards. The socio-cultural aspect in the professional training of future police officers is not only the formation of communicative competence, but also the space of interpersonal relations, in which a holistic culture of the individual is formed. The article presents an analysis of the diagnostic results of the formation of communicative competence of the future police officer. The results demonstrate the levels of formation of communicative competence of future police officers in cognitive, emotional and behavioural components.

The Mechanism of Language Death: A Reflection of Malay Language in Tanjung Balai

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-32
Author(s):  
Muhammad Natsir ◽  
Fauziah Khairani Lubis
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Research ◽  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Qualitative Method ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
National Language ◽  
Common Elements ◽  
Language Death ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Common ◽  
Over Time

This study deals with the phenomenon while language can be lost slowly if it can't be defended. This happens along with the rapid development of the era towards modernization which is feared that in the future, the Tanjung Balai Malay language, which is owned and proudly has been threatened with extinction over time, but what needs to be realized is that it does not mean to displace the position of Indonesian which has been agreed as the national language. This research took place in Tanjung Balai when in Tanjung Balai Malay language is used as the habitual language.  This study was conducted using descriptive with qualitative method purposed to find out the words as dysfunction verb in Tanjung Balai Language. Qualitative research was related to assisting in describing the common elements of the various forms of qualitative methods. Thirty dysfunctional Malay verbs were collected and analyzed as the data findings.

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