Methodical Approach to Assessing the Impact of Investment Activities on Import Substitution in Machine-Building Product Markets
The design of methods helping to assess the impact of investments and innovations on the development of manufacture and the growth of competitiveness in the engineering industries aims at establishing a system of criteria and tools used in forecasting and analytics of the impact from the innovative technological development of machine building on the performance of the real sector of the Russian economy. The developed toolkit helps to quantitatively estimate the development of machine-building commodity markets and anticipate structural changes depending on the effectiveness of investment activity. To measure import substitution in the growing market, the authors offer an indicator quantifying the increasing demand in the domestic market due to the increased output of domestic machinery products taking into account the export trends. This indicator helps to measure competitiveness as the outcome of investment and innovation effectiveness in the engineering industries. Thus, if the increasing demand in the growing market beats out the production growth figures and spurs an increase in the share of imported equipment in the domestic market, this indicates limited production capacities of domestic businesses, poor and uncompetitive manufacturing capacities. If, in the growing market, both indicators show an upward trend, it means that domestic enterprises possess technologies for increased output with technical and operational specifications meeting the global standards.