scholarly journals The ratio of natural and migration growth component as a determinant of functional urban regions’ development in the Republic of Serbia

2015 ◽  
Vol 95 (2) ◽  
pp. 53-74
Author(s):  
Marija Jeftic
Keyword(s):  
National Level ◽  
Spatial Differentiation ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Movement Model ◽  
Functional Changes ◽  
Urban Regions ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Rational Organization ◽  
And Migration

Based on the types of population movement model, in the paper is determined the extent of demographic processes that influenced the formation of functional urban regions in Serbia. Demographic processes expressed by immigration-emigration and the natural component of the population development in the settlements of the Republic of Serbia from 1981 to 2002, aimed to identify spatial, demographic and functional changes and determine the degree of spatial differentiation of the Republic of Serbia through respecting the specificity of its territorial parts. Especially is emphasized the period from 1991 to 2002 when Republic of Serbia had a demographic decline in its entirety, with certain differences in the spatial manifestation but also in the intensity of relationship between natural and migration component of regional areas of the country. In Vojvodina, the migration balance had high values with whom he was able to compensate the consequences of negative natural growth. In the settlements of central Serbia the low values of migration balance even more emphasized negative natural increase, which together reflected on the overall demographic decline at the national level. Functional urban regions are recognized as the instruments of balanced regional development of Serbia. Generally are given the possible directions of further functional spatial development that could perspectively influence the rational organization of the territory of the Republic of Serbia.

scholarly journals The impact of demographic processes on the functional urban regions' development in Serbia

2015 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-84
Author(s):  
Marija Jeftic
Keyword(s):  
Regional Development ◽  
Spatial Differentiation ◽  
Urban Structure ◽  
Entire Area ◽  
Urban Regions ◽  
Urban Settlements ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Methodological Approaches ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

Based on the relevant theoretical and methodological approaches and settlement-demographic components, in this paper is determined a functional urban settlement structure in the territory of the Republic of Serbia. Chronological overview of the changes in urban settlement's population from the postwar period to the present was intended to show the relations between demographic processes and development of the functional urban regions, to determine the degree of spatial differentiation of the territory of the Republic of Serbia and to establish the trends of the settlement formation as one of the factors of spatial and regional development. Small functional urban regions (whose center consists of urban settlements with 50,000 to 100,000 inhabitants) are proposed as the instruments for decentralization of the territory of the Republic of Serbia. On the basis of current functional urban structure and spatial demographic polarization of the Republic of Serbia, generally are given the possible planning directions with the aim of rational regional development of the entire area.

scholarly journals DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS OF THE REPUBLIC OF BURYATIA

2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 23-29
Author(s):  
L. F. Pisareva ◽  
N. P. Lyakhova ◽  
I. N. Odintsova ◽  
D. A. Perinov ◽  
Т. N. Chemitdorzhieva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Age Structure ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Demographic Characteristics ◽  
Population Movement ◽  
Natural Movement ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Basic Parameters ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Migration

From 1989 to 2013, demographic processes in the Republic of Buryatia were analyzed. Changes in the basic parameters of the population movement: births, deaths and migration were influenced by the sex and age structure of the population. The proportion of the Russians decreased from 69.9% in 1989 to 64.9% in 2010 and the number of the Buryats increased from 24.0 to 29.5%. With the increase in the proportion of residents over 60 years, a process of the aging of the population was observed. In 2000–2013, there was a positive dynamics of the natural movement of the population, the natural increase in /Т ёь9013 was 5,8 per 1000 persons. Migration population decline in the Republic of Buryatia keeps stable.

scholarly journals The regional differentiation of the demographic movements in the Republic of Macedonia

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 10-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirjanka Madjevikj ◽  
Biljana Apostolovska Toshevska ◽  
Svemir Gorin ◽  
Marija Ljakoska
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Differentiation ◽  
Population Increase ◽  
Regional Differentiation ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Republic Of Macedonia ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Complex Relationships ◽  
Economic Regions ◽  
Geographical Characteristics

Abstract The Republic of Macedonia covers an area of 25,713 km² and according to data from the census conducted in 2002, it has a population of 2,022,547 inhabitants. In the past, the Republic of Macedonia was characterized by some significant demographic changes, including a decline in the average annual rate of population increase. The enhanced immigration movements and sudden decline in the rates of natural population increase have led to changes in distribution of the population and to a spatial differentiation in the population. The long period of transition in the country has been reflected in the spatial development of the country and its demographic processes and to relocation of the population. The different natural-geographical characteristics, unequal regional development potentials, unequal economic development, and demographic characteristics have led to changes in the demographic situation of certain regions. The regions that continually lose part of its population clearly differ from these regions that are characterized by an increased population which is leading to a greater concentration of people in certain location. Further decades with a declining birth rate, followed by a change in the values of population increase, together with migration movements, particularly from the rural and less developed economic regions, has resulted in a decline in the population. The different zones of depopulation and concentration in a simple way express the complex relationships in the population composition.

scholarly journals Globalization of Migration Processes: on the Threshold of the New Migration Reality

2018 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 01225
Author(s):  
Rakhmon Ulmasov ◽  
Nurali Kurbanov
Keyword(s):  
Social Unit ◽  
Underdeveloped Countries ◽  
Global Issues ◽  
Political Conflicts ◽  
Sharp Growth ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
Important Idea ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Migration ◽  
National Governments

In this paper, the authors address the global issues of migration on the threshold of a new migration reality. Migration is considered to be one of the most actively developing global issues at present as more and more people are crossing the border of their state for one reason or another. The authors determine a comprehensive analysis of issues, in particular, the accelerating processes of global warming, expanding social and political conflicts, economic crises, and migration collapse. All of these issues together indicate a very important idea: in all of its processes related to life, particularly in the area of migration, the world has reached the threshold of a New Reality. The authors have indicated with absolute accuracy those issues that need a most focused attention from national governments and international institutions. This way, there is an obvious fact that is paradoxical for many countries, especially the European ones: despite the complex socioeconomic situation, limited natural resources, rising unemployment, declining income, and increasing impelled migration, there is a sharp growth in population in the Republic of Tajikistan. Such demographic processes are a hallmark of predominantly poor and underdeveloped countries, where having many children is often the only factor of a family’s survival as a social unit.

scholarly journals Assessment and mapping of demographic potential of urbanized territories of the Baikal-Mongol region

2021 ◽  
Vol 885 (1) ◽  
pp. 012028
Author(s):  
N V Vorobyev ◽  
A N Vorobyev
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Irkutsk Region ◽  
Quantitative Characteristics ◽  
Working Age ◽  
Population Structures ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Population Demographic ◽  
Demographic Potential

Abstract This article provides an assessment of the demographic potential of the Baikal-Mongolian region, which unites the adjacent territories of the two countries. The cores of the research site are the urbanized territories of Irkutsk, Ulan-Ude and Ulan-Bator, and communications are railways and highways connecting the main centres. The demographic potential is characterized by the level and possibilities for the development of demographic processes and population structures, and mainly numerous quantitative characteristics of the population of the territory are used. The authors limited themselves to using quantitative characteristics of the demographic potential according to statistical data for 2019–2020 within the territories of the municipal districts and urban districts of the Irkutsk region, the Republic of Buryatia and aimags of Mongolia. Data on density and proportion of urban population reflect the size of the main urban areas. Data on demographic processes reflect the characteristics of the natural and migration movement of the population. Demographic structures are represented by the age structure and the demographic load of the working-age population, which is minimal throughout Mongolia and in the suburbs of Russian regional centres. Generalizing characteristics of demographic potential calculated from the average sum of individual indicators.

scholarly journals Utjecaj ratnih i poratnih migracija na demografsku sliku Grada Knina (1991. – 2011.)

Geoadria ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-122
Author(s):  
Snježana Mrđen ◽  
Ana Jurić
Keyword(s):  
Population Change ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Ethnic Composition ◽  
Demographic Ageing ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Forced Migrations ◽  
Intercensal Period ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Town

The purpose of this paper is to analyze changes in the total population change in the settlements of the Town of Knin in the last two intercensal periods (1991-2001, 2001-2011), as well as the changes in the ethnic composition. As the war caused forced migrations which largely determined demographic processes in this region, a special attention in this research was given to the migration features of the population. The results of this research indicate that the greatest changes occurred in the 1991-2001 intercensal period. Both components of growth (natural increase and migration) were negative and caused a significant decrease of the indigenous population. This transformed the ethnic structure of the region; pre-war Serb population decreased by more than three quarters, while the influx of people from other parts of Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina resulted in the predominance of the Croat population. Although the region experienced a positive net migration in the last intercensal period, unfavourable demographic processes characterized by negative natural population change and demographic ageing occurred in most settlements included in this research. This suggests that the region is likely to continue experiencing depopulation, which will cause the extinction of population in some settlements.

Obtaining predicted values of the demographic process using machine learning methods

2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (2) ◽  
pp. 352-358
Author(s):  
S.Z. Sapakova ◽  
◽  
N. Madinesh ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Population Size ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Forest Models ◽  
Random Forest Models ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Average Monthly Salary

Research and analysis of demographic processes play an important role in many areas. For this, the population size and key factors from 1994 to 2019 were selected on the statistical website of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Demographics were population size, fertility, mortality, divorce, and migration. The factors of the standard of living were the number of unemployed and the average monthly salary, while the medical factors were the hospital organizations, the number of hospital beds and the number of doctors of all specialties. In the course of regression analysis, a correlation was obtained and multicollinear factors were identified. We used four different machine learning models from the Scikit-Learn library to generate population estimates. Regression models were evaluated using the quality score. As a result, linear regression and random forest models performed well.

scholarly journals Demographic potential of the Republic of Karakalpakstan

POPULATION ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 145-154
Author(s):  
Shoira Kh. Djumabaeva
Keyword(s):  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Divorce Rate ◽  
Marriage Rate ◽  
Women's Participation ◽  
Unwanted Pregnancies ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Public Production ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Impact

This article analyzes dynamics in the population size and composition, natural growth, fertility, mortality, marriage, divorce, and migration in one of the Uzbekistan regions — the Republic of Karakalpakstan. In recent years there has been observed a decrease in the natural population growth, although it remains relatively high. Analysis of the dynamics in fertility shows that in Karakalpakstan over the years of independence the crude birth rate has significantly decreased. The changing attitude of women to family size is closely related to the changes in their role in society and in family — expanding women's participation in public production, their raising awareness and wide use of various modern methods to prevent unwanted pregnancies. This is the main factor in the transition of young people from large families to small and medium-sized families. Mortality rate reflects the health status of population. Although the healthcare system was developing over the years of independence, the incidence of various diseases has increased. As a result, the infant, child and maternal mortality rates remain relatively high. In terms of infant mortality, Karakalpakstan takes one of the leading places in Uzbekistan. This can be partly explained by the poor environmental situation. The number of registered marriages and divorces also affects the demographic processes. Over the years of independence, the marriage rate has decreased, and the divorce rate has increased. The decline in the marriage rate is due to changes in the demographic structure of the country's population. The article also analyzes the dynamics of migration processes since independence. In particular, it shows high proportion of departures, negative migration balance, intensive external migration. The migration process is a result of the impact of various factors and causes. Among the reasons that encourage people to move from one place to another, there are emphasized socioeconomic factors.

CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NATURAL MOVEMENT OF THE POPULATION IN MACEDONIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 1235-1243
Author(s):  
Fauzi Skenderi ◽  
Resul Hamiti ◽  
Mireme Rushiti
Keyword(s):  
Maternal Age ◽  
National Level ◽  
State Level ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Republic Of Macedonia ◽  
The Third ◽  
National Differences ◽  
The Social ◽  
Natural Movement ◽  
The Republic

The end of the second millennium and the beginning of the third one in the territory of the Republic of Macedonia changes have intensively marked both the social and economic demographic of its population. Within this demographic, special emphasis should be placed on the natural movement of the Macedonian population. In this paper, the following will be about the natural increase of the overall population of Macedonia and the natural increase by ethnicity. Of particular importance in this paper are the spatial and national differences of natural population movement in Macedonia, and mainly to present more clearly these differences, we analyzed the most recent data of 2017 by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Macedonia for the natural increase of the population of the municipalities, which we presented in tabular, graphical and cartographic form. Indices of births in general, births by maternal age, maternal, maternal, mortality, cause of death, etc. are very important not only for the development of the demographic process but also for the development of the country in general. The main purpose of this paper is to identify the aging population phenomenon at national and national level. This paper attaches particular importance to the aforementioned demographic features during the period 1994 to 2017 at the state level.

scholarly journals Spatial and Temporal Shifts in the Demographic Development of China at the End of the 20th and the Beginning of the 21st Centuries

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-105
Author(s):  
Ekaterina ANTIPOVA ◽  
Chen LI
Keyword(s):  
National Level ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Geoinformation Technologies ◽  
Progressive Type ◽  
Spatial Differences ◽  
Demographic Processes ◽  
First Time ◽  
Demographic Policy

The article provides an economic and geographical analysis of the demographic processes in China, considering a set of natural and geographic factors, selected to reflect the influence of the state policy of family planning, as well as the policy for the development of separate regions in the period under study. The methodology included the use of geoinformation technologies, classification method and geographical systematization. Based on the identified spatial differences at the level of provinces, radical and previously absent spatial shifts in the demographic processes in China were established for the first time. They consist in the formation of positive and negative dynamics zones, as well as natural increase and natural decline zones. The demographic balance, for the first time calculated for the provinces of China, for 2010 and 2019, made it possible to indicate the dominance of provinces of a progressive type (53.0%) and a zone of provinces of a regressive type (8.8%). The established trend proves not only a differentiation, but also a spatial polarization at the national level and acts as a phenomenon of modern demographic development in China, in the 21st century. The results of the geographical systematization of the demographic space has practical significance as it provides the opportunity to use this methodology at the microgeographic level in other territories and serves as a scientific justification for the development of the directions of China’s regional demographic policy.

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